Since I wrote yesterday’s comment on the Western Australian Legislative Council, Antony Green has posted his own calculations on the ABC website here: http://www.abc.net.au/elections/wa/2005/results/.
Antony agrees with me on the results implied by the ticket preferences, but he thinks that when non-ticket votes are taken into account (those that we call “below-the-line” in Senate elections, although in WA they’re actually to the right of the line, since the ballot papers are arranged vertically), the two small parties – Christian Democrats in Agricultural and Fremantle Hospital Support Group in South Metro – will probably both miss out.
I suspect he’s right about South Metro, which would mean the last seat going to the ALP instead, but the last seat in Agricultural (which is the one I said beforehand was a lottery) is still too close to call. The Christian Dems might just hold on, but if they don’t it’ll go to Labor or the Nationals.
Read Richo’s earlier post-mortem on the WA election here: http://www.crikey.com.au/articles/2005/02/28-0001.html
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