Since I wrote yesterday’s comment on the Western Australian Legislative Council, Antony Green has posted his own calculations on the ABC website here:

Antony agrees with me on the results implied by the ticket preferences, but he thinks that when non-ticket votes are taken into account (those that we call “below-the-line” in Senate elections, although in WA they’re actually to the right of the line, since the ballot papers are arranged vertically), the two small parties – Christian Democrats in Agricultural and Fremantle Hospital Support Group in South Metro – will probably both miss out.

I suspect he’s right about South Metro, which would mean the last seat going to the ALP instead, but the last seat in Agricultural (which is the one I said beforehand was a lottery) is still too close to call. The Christian Dems might just hold on, but if they don’t it’ll go to Labor or the Nationals.

Read Richo’s earlier post-mortem on the WA election here:

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Peter Fray
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