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Tips and rumours

Abbott’s guest list for China trip … Greens’ Tassie love triangle … Villawood detainees on the move …

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Tasmanian election: Lara is toast, but what about Clive?

The Tasmanian Liberals look set to win the state government at the March poll — but could Clive Palmer’s party cause an upset? Crikey’s polling analyst crunches the numbers.

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Richard Farmer’s chunky bits

Will the NDIS actually get support at the ballot box? Richard Farmer suspects it will end up being a political suicide note. Plus other views noted along the way.

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Polling drives Labor’s push on gay marriage in Tasmania

Tasmanian Labor is in the polling wilderness. Which explains why the the state government will now act on gay marriage, writes political correspondent Bruce Montgomery from Hobart.

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Peace deal? Tasmanian forest wars descend into high farce

Land use in Tasmania is being determined by vested interests and pressure groups that do not actually own or manage any of the resource, writes Bruce Montgomery, former Tasmanian correspondent of The Australian

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Political donations: SA and Tassie rolling in election dough

Political donations data released by the Australian Electoral Commission yesterday shows a multi-million jump in donations for South Australia and Tasmania — the two states that held elections over the audit period.

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The Greens … win Denison? It won’t happen

Much of the speculation that the Greens can take Dension centres on a Melbourne scenario: that the Greens can do better than the Libs, then will out-gun Labor on Lib preferences, writes Peter Tucker, editor of the Tasmanian Politics website.

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Tasmanian Times | EUROPE|

Tasmania and Britain: a tale of two Nicks

Tasmanian Greens leader Nick McKim and the UK’s Liberal Democratic leader Nick Clegg share more than a first name, writes Henry Melville: there are some striking similarities in how the two third-party leaders have waged their wars.

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Richardson: can the Greens go where Labor once did?

This week, the Greens are celebrating their own milestone, with two Greens yesterday sworn into office as members of a predominantly Labor cabinet in Tasmania.

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The Mercury (Hobart) | TAS|

A history of the ALP’s hatred of the Greens in Tasmania

The latest animosity between Tasmanian Labor Premier David Bartlett and Greens leader Nick McKim is nothing new: the ALP has been loudly and proudly hating on the Greens in the Apple Isle for decades. Sue Neales explains the full bitchy backstory.

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Crikey Blogs | TAS|

Richardson: Tassie Greens avoid the poisoned chalice

Tasmanian Greens leader Nick McKim made the right decision to turn down a seat in David Bartlett’s cabinet. If you’re contributing half as many MPs as the senior partner, it’s reasonable to expect more than one ministry out of nine, writes Charles Richardson.

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TAS|

Greens should not be content with anything less than power

Will the Greens be the next Australian Democrats or the new Labor Party? asks Aron Paul. Some lessons in history for Nick McKim.

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Tasmanian Politics | TAS|

Tas Greens should stay out of the Government for their own good

The Tasmanian Greens are better off supporting a Labor government than being part of one, argues Peter Tucker. The less power the party seeks now, the more it will wield in the future.

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Crikey Blogs | TAS|

Labor holds on to Tasmania — for now

After a long and bloody battle, Tasmania’s election finally has finally come to an end, with the Greens providing shock 11th hour to return a minority Labor government. But Hodgman is still fighting, and this war may be far from over.

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Crikey Blogs | TAS|

Dear Tas Greens: stay out of government

To have a real chance of electing one of their own as Premier, Tasmania’s Greens must resist the appeal of entering into a coalition, says Guy Rundle.

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Tas election: no-one comes out of this with a majority

All you really need to know about tomorrow’s election in Tasmania is that no-one will have a majority, so what happens next will be out of the hands of the voters.

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Crikey Blogs | TAS|

Tas Libs: the real wolves in sheeps’ clothing

Throughout the Tasmanian election campaign, the ALP have harped on about the Greens being “wolves in sheep’s clothing”. But the real pollies hiding in cuddly fleece are in the Liberal Party, with Eric Abetz heading the flock, says Greg Barns.

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Crikey Blogs | TAS|

The cute face that could kill Labor’s chances in Tas

The Advocate’s front-page story yesterday was the stuff of nightmares for Labor Party operatives trying desperately to retain power in Tasmania, reports Jason Whittaker.

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Crikey Blogs | TAS|

Tasmania ’10: new lows in vacousness, lies and sheer gutlessness

Election campaigns are always full of dirty tactics, but this year’s Tasmanian battle has sunk to new lows of grubbiness, says Greg Barns

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Tasmanian Times | ENVIRONMENT|

Tassie’s forests should not be plundered by politics

Both major parties in Tasmania are equally hopeless on environmental issues, says John Biggs. It’s up to minor parties and independents to save it from complete destruction.

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TAS|

Tas election: Crunching the numbers, with the help of the Greens

With the Greens set to hold the balance of power in Tasmania, what will it look for in the Labor and Liberal pitches? Political survival in parliament, writes Bruce Montgomery.

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Richardson: Why Tassie is the one to watch

The Tasmanian election result may actually have more significance for interstate observers than South Australia: it could be the big break the Greens have been waiting for.

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Antony Green | TAS|

Antony Green: Why Labor will lose Franklin

Antony Green profiles the Tasmanian state division of Franklin, where new boundaries and a high-profile Liberal Party campaign look set to unseat at least one of the three sitting ALP members.

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Tasmanian Times | PRINT|

Why is Fairfax granting anonymity for a Labor Party beat-up?

Senior Labor Party figures” have been peddling unsubstantiated claims about Greens leader Nick McKim’s political future, says Bob Burton. Why is the Mercury granting them anonymity for such an obvious beat-up?

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No movement for Tony

Copenhagen might have made the Labor position on global warming more difficult to justify but the Crikey Election Indicator still has the government of Kevin Rudd comfortably favourite as this pre-election year draws to a close.

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