Essential Research’s new poll shows Tony Abbott going backwards with voters — particularly among older voters. It looks like the Government’s focus on health has paid off.
Polls
Morgan: A turning point for Labor?
The ALP is up one point in this week’s Morgan poll — a two-party preferred of 56.5-43.5. But don’t buy into the pundits’ “OMG TEH ALP IS COMING BACK!!!!” hype, says Possum Comitatus: this one has been trending for a while.
Galaxy: NSW loves Keneally — but not enough to vote for her
The latest NSW Galaxy poll has Premier Kristina Keneally’s approval rating up eight points to 53%, but the Coalition is still dominating the ALP in the two-party preferred vote 57-43, reports William Bowe.
Who made the worm turn?
Why did the channel Seven and Nine worms vary so dramatically during the health debate yesterday? Possum Comitatus has the inside scoop on just who was sitting in each audience.
Essential: Voters would elect Gillard over Abbott
This week’s Essential Report, now brought to you earlier by Crikey, finds 47% of voters would prefer the Powerfox as PM over the Mad Monk, while a quarter of the country can’t seem to pick between Rudd and Joe Hockey. Possum has the rest of the figures.
Essential: Voters back Rudd on health reform
Kevin Rudd retains strong support from voters for his health reform plan, according to Essential Research’s latest poll, and has a commanding lead on the issue that will dominate politics for the next week.
Newspoll: Tasmania is well hung
A last-minute Newpoll in today’s Oz predicts Tasmania is set to face a hung parliament tomorrow, with neither major party popular enough to pull in a clear majority.
Newspoll: Labor’s worst all year
This week’s Newspoll has the ALP’s lead steady on 52-48, but Kevin Rudd’s satisfaction ratings have hit a new low. Is the tide turning on the ALP, or did he just pull an unlucky survey sample? Possum Comitatus looks at the figures.
A polling puzzle for Rudd
The two latest election polls may leave Kevin Rudd puzzling over which way the voters are leaning: yesterday, Essential Report gave the ALP its best result this year, but today, Newspoll rains on his parade with his worst results yet. William Bowe has the figures
Essential Report: Labor’s best all year
This week’s Essential Report has a two party preferred vote of 56-44 — a two point gain to the ALP and the party’s best Essential result all year by far. Possum Comitatus has all the numbers.
Tas election: Crunching the numbers, with the help of the Greens
With the Greens set to hold the balance of power in Tasmania, what will it look for in the Labor and Liberal pitches? Political survival in parliament, writes Bruce Montgomery.
Liberals take the lead in SA
The latest Galaxy poll has the SA Liberals take a 51-49 lead in the two-party preferred vote for Saturday’s neck-and-neck state election. William Bowe has all the numbers.
Australians give the national curriculum an A+
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two-party preferred of 54-46 — a one-point gain for Labor — and finds that a whopping 85% of Australians approve of a national curriculum for Australian schools, reports Possum Comitatus.
Rann’s approval takes a caning as Libs firm in SA election market
As the South Australian election campaign enters its final fortnight, a complacent betting market continues to rate the Liberals a $3.60 long shot — but that should change following today’s Newspoll.
Newspoll: Bad news for SA ALP — worse for Rann
The latest Newspoll results in South Australia — a 50-50 TPP — shows voters are growing tired of Rann, and the fresh face of Isobel Redmond is starting to look very appealing in comparison, writes David Nason.
A dead heat in SA
With less than a fortnight until election day, Newspoll has released a poll of South Australian state voting intention: a two-party preferred of 50-50, with the Libs leading on the primaries and Rann’s disapproval rating surging past his approval.
Nielsen: Labor’s hospital funding plan is on-the-money
Possum Comitatus further breaks down today’s Nielsen poll, finding strong, across-the-the-board support for more Federal funding to public hospitals. The Opposition is going to have trouble arguing against this one.
Mungo MacCallum: Heard the one about the PM, the masochist and the sadist?
After predicting — and almost begging for — a severe whacking in the opinion polls, Kevin Rudd got off with the lightest of slaps on the wrist.
Possum: Forget who Australians want to win the election, who do they think will win?
Possum Comitatus breaks down today’s Nielsen poll results, comparing approval ratings, preferred PM and win expectations by party vote.
Rudd sinks to new low
The latest Nielsen poll shows the ALP’s lead dropping further — down from to 53-47 from 54-46 — while Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is down three points and his lead as preferred Prime Minister continues to dwindle. William Bowe has the numbers.
Westfield: Abbott is a chance, as Rudd runs out the clock on reform
The plunge in Labor’s opinion poll figures, and the corresponding recovery of the Tony Abbott-led coalition, has caught most pundits by surprise. Tony Abbott could win, writes former Malcolm Turnbull adviser Mark Westfield.
Adelaide election: 50.5-49.5 to Maywald in Chaffey
A new poll in the South Australian state seat of Chaffey, held by the state’s sole Nationals MP, Karlene Maywald, finds an effective dead heat between Maywald and Liberal candidate Tim Whetstone, reports William Bowe.
Who’s the “best party to manage”? Who knows
The media loves when pollsters ask “best party/leader to manage” questions, but, as Possum Comitatus explains (via graphs and words like “Coefficient Value”), they don’t actually tell us anything.
Rudd vs. Gillard vs. Abbott
The latest Newspoll and Essential polls surveyed voters on whether they’d prefer Julia Gillard to Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister, and who they’d vote for in a face-off between Gillard and Tony Abbott. Possum Comitatus breaks down all the results.
Shanahan: The trends are turning on Labor
It’s not just today’s Newspoll results — down in the primaries, down in satisfaction and preferred PM — that Kevin Rudd needs to worry about, says Dennis Shanahan: it’s the long-term trends that foreshadow trouble.
