Polls


Richardson: Why I’ve stopped reading News Ltd

The latest NSW Newspoll found latest Newspoll found premier Kristina Keneally’s personal ratings are going strong — so why did The Oz run with the line “the Keneally government is dead in the water”, asks Charles Richardson.

Keane’s analysis: asylum seekers dog the Government, and forget about tax rises

New polling data from Essential Research undermines the claim that people support higher taxes if they like what they’re spent on, and finds Australians rate the government’s management of asylum seekers very poorly.

Essential: Voters back health plan, optimistic about change

Kevin Rudd has won support for his sweeping health reforms among voters, according to a new Essential Research poll, with most believing it will have a positive impact on health services.

Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition in NSW

The latest NSW Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead down from 57-43 to 55-45, while Kristina Keneally’s personal ratings continue to improve: her approval rating up six to 47%, reports William Bowe.

Newspoll: Brumby faces a late scratching

The latest Victorian Newspoll has Labor’s two-party vote down 52-48 from 54-46, while Premier John Brumby’s disapproval rating is up four and now higher than his approval rating for the first time, reports William Bowe.

Morgan: Labor takes another polling hit

The latest Morgan poll comes in with the ALP’s two-party lead down 56-44 from 58-42, and sees the party take a five-point hit on the primary vote, reports William Bowe.

Cox: The sleaze factor in election strategies

Can we stop over emphasising the results of polls, with their dicey questions, margins of errors within the weekly changes and lack of clarity about their relationship to actual voting reasons? asks Eva Cox.

Henderson: Abbott is looking pretty in the polls

Ignore the headline figures on polls, says Gerard Henderson: Rudd and the ALP may be winning, but Abbott’s numbers are impressive for an Opposition Leader against a first-term government.

Newspoll: Labor feels the cold chill of its asylum freeze

The latest Newspoll has Labor’s two-party lead at 54-46 — down from 56-44 — while the government’s asylum claim freeze has produced a huge swing towards the Coalition on the question of which party is best to handle asylum seekers, reports William Bowe.

Voters strongly back Govt over asylum seekers — and want migrants to go bush

New Essential Research polling shows strong support for the Government’s decision to stop accepting Sri Lankan and Afghan refugees — even from Green voters.

Nielsen: Voters back Rudd on health (even in the States don’t)

The latest Nielsen poll has Labor’s lead slipping to just 51-49. But it’s not all bad news for the PM: with state premiers in Canberra today to vote on (and against) Rudd’s hospital reforms, the poll reveals the majority of voters actually back the Federal plans.

Polls apart from reality

Polling by news organisations — a la the worm or a Herald Sun political poll — tells us absolutely nothing about an issue. Why must we renounce nuanced problems down to a yes/no answer? asks Scott Bridges.

Essential: Voters live up to stereotypes

The latest Essential Report comes in at 54-46 to Labor — no change from last week. But when it comes to foreign policy, voters are split predictably down party lines, says Possum Comitatus.

Coalition lags on foreign affairs — and voters want to cosy with China

Despite recent events, many Australians actually want a closer relationship with China, the latest Essential Research polling shows. But they’re not so keen on India.

Cox: The political risks of polling

Professional researcher Eva Cox explains why the importance and accuracy of opinion polls is over-rated — yet, once published, their results can be deeply damaging to society.

Morgan: Australians want asylum seekers sent home

The latest Morgan poll reveals some interesting insights into Australians’ attitudes to asylum seekers: most want our overall immigration levels to stay the same, but want to see boat people sent home. Possum Comitatus breaks down the figures by party allegiance.

Essential Research: Labor too soft on refugees

The latest Essential Report comes in steady from last week — a two-party preferred of 54-46 — and finds the majority of Australians think the Rudd government is “too soft” on asylum seekers. Possum Comitatus has all the numbers.

Essential Research: Labor ‘too soft’ on refugees; Abbott swims with the tide

A majority of voters believe the federal government has been too soft on asylum seekers, and most think the Coalition would do a better job, according to new polling from Essential Research.

Newspoll: Australia goes green

Newspoll has released its quarterly aggregation, showing the Greens have been the big winners in the primary votes, while Tony Abbott was popular with the blue rinse set, but has become even less popular with da yoof, reports Possum Comitatus.

Polligraph Debate Drilldown: Men, not women, are Abbott’s problem

It was men, not women, really cranking the dial hard towards “no” during Tony Abbott’s performance in last week’s health debate, according to Roy Morgan Reactor demographic breakdowns.

PolliGraph debate drilldowns

Roy Morgan has shared its audience data from last week’s Rudd-Abbott health debate with Crikey, and Possum Comitatus is drilling into all the dirty demographic breakdowns.

Newspoll: Labor’s best all year

This fortnight’s Newspoll sees Labor lift out of its recent slump to record a 56-44 lead, up from 52-48, while yesterday’s Essential results are echoed in a hit to Tony Abbott’s satisfaction ratings. Possum Comitatus has all the numbers.

Essential: Abbott’s approval ratings run, swim and cycle downwards

The latest Essential Report comes in at 54-46 — a 2-point increase to the Coalition, but Tony Abbott’s approval ratings have not fared so well, reports Possum Comitatus.

Essential: Did the health debate wound Abbott?

Essential Research’s new poll shows Tony Abbott going backwards with voters — particularly among older voters. It looks like the Government’s focus on health has paid off.

Morgan: A turning point for Labor?

The ALP is up one point in this week’s Morgan poll — a two-party preferred of 56.5-43.5. But don’t buy into the pundits’ “OMG TEH ALP IS COMING BACK!!!!” hype, says Possum Comitatus: this one has been trending for a while.