A new Morgan poll has found a growing level of scepticism towards global warming by Australians over the past 12 months, says Possum Comitatus — especially amongst regional and rural voters.
Polls
Shanahan: Australians dissatisfied with Rudd’s boat bungles
Amid the Government’s stand-off with asylum seekers aboard the Oceanic Viking, Kevin Rudd’s dissatisfaction rating has risen to 34% — a 10-percentage point rise since 1 October and the highest since September last year, says Dennis Shanahan
Possum: Polling volatility is the new black
The latest Newspoll looks to be a more historically consistent result with all the metrics now back in lockstep, says Possum Comitatus. And while Rudd’s satisfaction has been down, a complimentary boost to Turnbull hasn’t eventuated.
Newspoll: ALP bounces back
The eagerly awaited Newspoll results are in: Labor bouncing from last fortnight’s 52-48 quirk to 56-44. Meanwhile, the latest Essential report has lurched from 59-41 to 55-45, the lowest lead for Labor so far.
Greens get the climate poll they paid for
The Greens recently commissioned a Galaxy poll on public opinion to the Government’s ETS and, surprise surprise says Andrew Norton: it found Australians want a more ambitious emissions target.
ALP takes another hit in the polls — sort of
Maybe That Newspoll wasn’t an outlier after all: the latest Morgan poll has shown a 5-point drop to the ALP. But it was a small sample size. And a new Newspoll of QLD marginals shows a strong swing to the party. What does it all mean? Our heads hurt.
Which magazines are Australians reading?
Girl With a Satchel combs through Roy Morgan’s latest readership figures to see which glossies Australians are — and aren’t — reading. Better Homes and Gardens continues to boom, while Cleo has taken a caning.
Possum: What if you were a pollster and produced an outlier?
What would you do if you ran a polling organisation that produced a result that was almost certainly an outlier? Would you publish? asks Possum. In some cases *cough*, pollsters are damned if they do, damned if they don’t.
The Newspoll numbers The Australian won’t print
The Australian appears to have decided to not publish the results of an opinion poll on voting intention in the wake of last week’s outlier that had Malcolm Turnbull gaining ground on Kevin Rudd.
Australians scathing over Rudd’s Timor Sea inaction
This week’s Essential Report comes in steady at 59-41, but Rudd’s approval rating has taken a hit. The poll also found 75% of Australians believe the Government would have done much more to prevent damage caused by the Timor Sea oil spill if it had happened somewhere like the the Great Barrier Reef.
Asylum seeker polling: Nielsen, Newspoll and Essential
Possum Comitatus combines today’s Newspoll and Nielsen polls on asylum seeker issues with last week’s Essential Report. Voters do think Rudd’s policies are too soft, but it’s not the killer issue for the Coalition that it once was.
Milne: Rudd stays one step ahead of the pollsters
Kevin Rudd may have been on a media offensive last week after a poor Newspoll result, but the ALP hasn’t been panicking too much: its finger is firmly on the pulse of voter sentiment, and the party knows it’s outgunning the Opposition on almost every critical issue, writes Glenn Milne.
We are all polling experts now
The most plausible conclusion from recent polling is that last week’s Newspoll is an outlier, says Tobias Ziegler — but that hasn’t gotten in the way of a media narrative that says Rudd took a hit in the polls, most likely over asylum seekers.
Possum: Rudd’s honeymoon restored
This month’s Nielsen results have polling back to normal after last week’s Newspoll surprise: Rudd has taken a slight clip in the approval ratings and preferred PM, but it’s just more ebbs and flows of they type he’s experienced over the last six months.
Rudd down (slightly), but far from out
The monthly Nielsen poll further proves reports of the ALP’s death in the polls have been slightly exaggerated: Labor’s two-party lead down just slightly to 56-44, while Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is down three points and his disapproval is up five.
New Morgan poll adds weight to Newspoll outlier theory
The latest Morgan poll has come in with a two party preferred vote of 61-39 — a half-point increase to Labor — making it even more plausible that the apparent drop in the ALP’s vote from the latest Newspoll is just an outlier.
If an election was held today, Obama would lose
What a difference a year makes: a new Rasmussen Reports survey has found that only 45% of Americans would vote for Obama if an election were held today.
Is Rudd’s honeymoon over?
Everyone today has an opinion or three on whether the latest Newspoll is the 47th end of the Rudd honeymoon or a polling outlier. The most likely answer is probably a bit of both.
Newspoll: Is this just a freak result?
The seven-point change in the latest Newspoll is a massive shift — has voter sentiment really been affected that much by the asylum seeker issue, or is this just a statistical anomaly? Possum Comitatus investigates.
Possum: The first big poll on asylum seekers
The long awaited polling on public perceptions of the asylum seeker issue is in, finding 52% think the Government is too weak on border protection and 66% support the decision to turn back boats. Possum Comitatus has more.
Newspoll: Labor’s lead slumps
Labor’s two-party preferred lead has dropped from 59-41 to 52-48 in the latest Newspoll, their smallest lead in almost two years.
Australia’s most hated brands
The 2009 Brand Asset Valuator study reveals Australia’s most popular brand names — which this year include Google, Nokia and Vegemite — but far more interesting are the brands we like the least, which include Grazia magazine and Aurora Coffee.
Could the polls actually be undercooked for Labor?
The ALP has been surging ahead in the polls of late, but Possum Comitatus has found a curious anomaly. Is it possible Labor’s vote is even higher than the headlines are suggesting?
Poll Bludger: Labor’s mega-lead remains impenetrable
The latest Essential Research poll shows Labor’s mega-lead remaining imprevious to anything domestic or international push or pull factors might throw at it, says William Bowe.
Poll: ETS too soft on big-business
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two party preferred vote of 59-41 — a 1-point gain to the ALP — and also finds one-third of Australians think the government’s emissions trading scheme goes too far in favouring big business.
