Poll


Polls drift into la la land: 56-44

So much for the commentators’ predictions that Rudd’s honeymoon is over: Newspoll comes in today with a two-party preferred of 56/44 to Labor, up 1 from a fortnight ago, writes Possum.

More Newspoll Shanahanigans

There we were expecting the new Government’s first bad opinion poll. Didn’t happen, though The Oz’s Dennis Shanahan made the best of a bad situation, writes Bernard Keane.

Will WA put Labor’s hopes through the grinder?

The results of the Miss Maud Coffee Bean Poll are in, hot off the percolator – and we could be in for a long Saturday night and Sunday morning waiting to see how Western Australia swings the election, writes Christian Kerr.

Miss Maud: More poll results from the West

In the first edition today, Crikey bought you the results of Morgan polling taken in vital marginal seats in WA. Now, we’ve got another – the Miss Maud Coffee Bean Poll.

The Kevin conundrum

The most interesting poll appears only after a federal election. It is the Australian National University’s Australian Electoral Survey, writes Christian Kerr.

Kevin Rudd, growth and the ‘you too’ campaign

It’s not the narrowing, but nor is it annihilation. It is an election in Australia, writes Christian Kerr.

Your Say: Daily Mail readers' feedback: Comments, corrections, clarifications, and c*ckups

Taverner poll … Election bias … north Queensland social attitudes … climate change … women voters and the Liberals … Flinders Uni and VSU … David Flint … stick with Howard

Chasing the 16 seats – the story so far

So, two thirds of the way through this campaign, what can we say? The commentariat appears to have been stung by its calls in 2001 and 2004, writes Christian Kerr.

Nice Newspoll, shame about the rates

Today we have the best Newspoll for the government since November, even if it’s only due to a bit of minor party preference noise, but as far as the image goes – a good poll is a good poll is a good poll, writes Possum Comitatus.

MacCormack: Making rabbit stew with Haneef and Abbott

Another day, another poll, another massive lead to the ALP. You can almost hear the sighs of frustration from the media – and not just at The Australian, writes David MacCormack.

A Crikey Random Poll

Are people’s voting intentions firming?

Crikey Says: Crikey Says

There is, they say, only one poll that matters. But which one is it? That’s the question.

Your Crikey cut out ‘n’ keep guide to election dates

It wasn’t called at the end of APEC and it wasn’t called last weekend. So when’s the Prime Minister going to call on the Governor-General and ask him to dissolve parliament and issue the writs for a poll?

That’s the thing PM: nobody likes you. Never did

About this time of year, back in 1992, one of the big guns of the Gallery made a remarkable discovery. They realised Paul Keating and the then GG, Bill Hayden, would be crossing paths on some bush airstrip on a Sunday afternoon. For a few days it became conventional wisdom that an election would be called then.

Groundhog Day for the polls… again

The lead article in today’s Oz has “news” that the ALP has a “crushing” 59-41 2PP lead on the Coalition — the same lead they had months ago, and the same lead they’ve had pretty much consistently since Rudd took over as leader of the Opposition.

Tax and churn and spend wears thin: Galaxy

I made a brave call last week – that the Government can win if it gets its economic pitch right. They don’t seem to be having much luck, writes Christian Kerr.

Newspoll chief regrets siding with The Australian

Newspoll chief executive Martin O’Shannessy last night told a meeting of the Australian Market research Society that he regretted writing an opinion piece for The Australian supporting the paper’s interpretation of a recent newspoll.

There’s only so much mileage in being the underdog

It’s deja vu all over again. Almost two months ago, the prime minister warned his colleagues that they were facing electoral “annihilation”. This week his tone was more plaintive, but the message was the same.

Sorting the truth from the poll chatter

Certainly we criticised a Galaxy question recently. This does not mean that all Galaxy questions are suspect. And for an organization to publish a result it is pleased with does not make the result wrong, writes Irving Saulwick and Denis Muller.