America’s belief in global warming plummetsThe number of Americans who believe in global warming has dropped from 77% to only 57% in just two years, with the decline sharpest amongst independent voters and Republicans, according to a new Pew study.
Opinion polls
Everything you need to know about big-P politics in four simple charts
Barely 10 years ago, the dynamics of the government/public relationship was such that the Prime Minister neither lifted nor depressed the party vote very much, says Possum Comitatus. But with the rise of PR-driven politics, just check out the charts now…
Australians don’t blame Rudd for interest rate rise
The latest Essential Report reveals some surprising public opinions: 55% of Australians believe the latest interest rate hike reflects a positive trend in the economy, not “reckless and excessive stimulus spending”. Possum Comitatus has the rest.
Possum: Coalition’s “economic legacy” in tatters
A new Essential Report has found the public have a favourable view of the Rudd government’s economic management, and they’re dismissing every single economic angle the Opposition has been raising as an attack for the past six months.
Hillary now more popular than Obama
A new Gallup poll has Hillary Clinton’s popularity at 62% while President Barack Obama’s is only sitting at 56%. Could these new figures see her consider another tilt at the Presidency?
graph pr0n A history of nuclear polling
With a new poll today revealing almost half of Australians now support considering nuclear power as an alternative energy source, Possum Comitatus charts the history of polling on the issue since 2006.
Interest rates: the difference between reality and chatter
Amid the media chatter today about what the interest rate rise means for the “stimulus debate”, news from the real world is that the majority of Australians reckon the government is handling the economy very well.
Fox: the most, and least, trusted name in news
In a new study about trust in news media, Americans named Fox News as the most trustworthy source of TV news. They also named it the least trustworthy. Confused? Mediaite explains.
Australia: land of the landslide
Crunching all 199 polls taken since January 2008, Possum Comitatus reveals some astonishing results about public political opinion in Australia: landslides have become the norm.
What are Australians afraid of?
Roy Morgan has released a looking at the public perceptions of which countries are considered to be Australia’s biggest security threat, finding many are worried about Indonesia… except young people and Tasmanians.
Change the climate, say Australians, but not at any price
The Australian public wants a healthy environment, jobs and well-priced fuel, writes pollster Ian Woolcott.
Essential Research: Labor leaps again
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two-party preferred of 59/41 — the ALP gaining two points, up from 57-43 last week and 56-44 the week before. Possum crunches the numbers.
Essential Research: small slip for Labor
The latest weekly Essential Research survey has Labor’s two-party lead down from 57-43 to 56-44. Poll Bludger has the numbers.
The world loves Obama, still hates the rest of America
A new poll has found that people from around the world largely have positive sentiments towards Barack Obama, but their attitudes toward America is general remain negative, with an average of 77% viewing the US as “threatening”.
Tony Abbott: chick magnet?
WTF? asks Possum Comitatus. The thing is, the Coalition needs Abbott to attract female voters. So can he?
A quarter of Americans don’t believe “all men are created equal”
To celebrate the Fourth of July, Rasmussen surveyed Americans on whether they agree or disagree on statements in the Declaration of Independence. Amongst other surprise results, 23% disagreed with the statement that “all men are created equal”.
Polls hit Turnbull. Hard.
Newspoll, ACNielsen and Galaxy have all reported in today — and they all report a disastrous tale of Malcolm Turnbull’s Utegate adventures last week. Pollbludger rounds up the numbers.
BEST OF THE COMMENTARY
- SHANAHAN: Turnbull living on borrowed political time
- SHEEHAN: Hyena pack hunts in Canberra
- MILNE: Put up and shut up
- GRATTAN: Libs are stuck with Turnbull
Brent vs Possum: on accumulating accuracy
The world needs statisticians and economists, particularly in these troubled times. But on occasion they get so carried away with their graphs and formulae, we find them lodged up their own orifices, writes Peter Brent.
The Last Daily Verdict: Labor wins the campaign but …
By our measure Labor has clearly won the campaign with yesterday being no exception, writes Richard Farmer.
The slippery world of polls, slops and worms
In the slippery world of political statistics, polls are a known quantity and in Australia have a generally good record of accuracy. But slops and worms are another story all together, write Irving Saulwick and Denis Muller.
Comrie-Thomson: Everybody cool on polls and climate change
The commentariat need to cool it. The weekend media ignored Rod Cameron’s cool analysis of opinion polls on Friday night’s Lateline. So what have all these opinion polls been about? Has all the commentary been idle chatter based on false premises? Paul Comrie-Thomson investigates.
