A new Morgan poll has found a growing level of scepticism towards global warming by Australians over the past 12 months, says Possum Comitatus — especially amongst regional and rural voters.
Opinion polls
Newspoll: ??-??
After last week’s rogue Newspoll result, The Oz sent its pollster out into the field again over the weekend for an eagerly anticipated follow-up survey. Too bad they haven’t shared the results with the rest of Australia. Gary Morgan is unimpressed.
Possum: What if you were a pollster and produced an outlier?
What would you do if you ran a polling organisation that produced a result that was almost certainly an outlier? Would you publish? asks Possum. In some cases *cough*, pollsters are damned if they do, damned if they don’t.
The Newspoll numbers The Australian won’t print
The Australian appears to have decided to not publish the results of an opinion poll on voting intention in the wake of last week’s outlier that had Malcolm Turnbull gaining ground on Kevin Rudd.
Australians scathing over Rudd’s Timor Sea inaction
This week’s Essential Report comes in steady at 59-41, but Rudd’s approval rating has taken a hit. The poll also found 75% of Australians believe the Government would have done much more to prevent damage caused by the Timor Sea oil spill if it had happened somewhere like the the Great Barrier Reef.
Mungo MacCallum: Saint Kevin’s halo has finally slipped
If last week’s polling switch is really a result of the boat people kerfuffle, Rudd won’t be able to bluster and twitter his way out of it. So what does he have to do to win the voters back?
Asylum seeker polling: Nielsen, Newspoll and Essential
Possum Comitatus combines today’s Newspoll and Nielsen polls on asylum seeker issues with last week’s Essential Report. Voters do think Rudd’s policies are too soft, but it’s not the killer issue for the Coalition that it once was.
Milne: Rudd stays one step ahead of the pollsters
Kevin Rudd may have been on a media offensive last week after a poor Newspoll result, but the ALP hasn’t been panicking too much: its finger is firmly on the pulse of voter sentiment, and the party knows it’s outgunning the Opposition on almost every critical issue, writes Glenn Milne.
We are all polling experts now
The most plausible conclusion from recent polling is that last week’s Newspoll is an outlier, says Tobias Ziegler — but that hasn’t gotten in the way of a media narrative that says Rudd took a hit in the polls, most likely over asylum seekers.
New Morgan poll adds weight to Newspoll outlier theory
The latest Morgan poll has come in with a two party preferred vote of 61-39 — a half-point increase to Labor — making it even more plausible that the apparent drop in the ALP’s vote from the latest Newspoll is just an outlier.
Is Rudd’s honeymoon over?
Everyone today has an opinion or three on whether the latest Newspoll is the 47th end of the Rudd honeymoon or a polling outlier. The most likely answer is probably a bit of both.
Newspoll: Is this just a freak result?
The seven-point change in the latest Newspoll is a massive shift — has voter sentiment really been affected that much by the asylum seeker issue, or is this just a statistical anomaly? Possum Comitatus investigates.
Could the polls actually be undercooked for Labor?
The ALP has been surging ahead in the polls of late, but Possum Comitatus has found a curious anomaly. Is it possible Labor’s vote is even higher than the headlines are suggesting?
Poll Bludger: Labor’s mega-lead remains impenetrable
The latest Essential Research poll shows Labor’s mega-lead remaining imprevious to anything domestic or international push or pull factors might throw at it, says William Bowe.
Poll: ETS too soft on big-business
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two party preferred vote of 59-41 — a 1-point gain to the ALP — and also finds one-third of Australians think the government’s emissions trading scheme goes too far in favouring big business.
America’s belief in global warming plummets
The number of Americans who believe in global warming has dropped from 77% to only 57% in just two years, with the decline sharpest amongst independent voters and Republicans, according to a new Pew study.
Everything you need to know about big-P politics in four simple charts
Barely 10 years ago, the dynamics of the government/public relationship was such that the Prime Minister neither lifted nor depressed the party vote very much, says Possum Comitatus. But with the rise of PR-driven politics, just check out the charts now…
Australians don’t blame Rudd for interest rate rise
The latest Essential Report reveals some surprising public opinions: 55% of Australians believe the latest interest rate hike reflects a positive trend in the economy, not “reckless and excessive stimulus spending”. Possum Comitatus has the rest.
Possum: Coalition’s “economic legacy” in tatters
A new Essential Report has found the public have a favourable view of the Rudd government’s economic management, and they’re dismissing every single economic angle the Opposition has been raising as an attack for the past six months.
Hillary now more popular than Obama
A new Gallup poll has Hillary Clinton’s popularity at 62% while President Barack Obama’s is only sitting at 56%. Could these new figures see her consider another tilt at the Presidency?
graph pr0n A history of nuclear polling
With a new poll today revealing almost half of Australians now support considering nuclear power as an alternative energy source, Possum Comitatus charts the history of polling on the issue since 2006.
Interest rates: the difference between reality and chatter
Amid the media chatter today about what the interest rate rise means for the “stimulus debate”, news from the real world is that the majority of Australians reckon the government is handling the economy very well.
Fox: the most, and least, trusted name in news
In a new study about trust in news media, Americans named Fox News as the most trustworthy source of TV news. They also named it the least trustworthy. Confused? Mediaite explains.
Australia: land of the landslide
Crunching all 199 polls taken since January 2008, Possum Comitatus reveals some astonishing results about public political opinion in Australia: landslides have become the norm.
