Rudd down (slightly), but far from outThe monthly Nielsen poll further proves reports of the ALP’s death in the polls have been slightly exaggerated: Labor’s two-party lead down just slightly to 56-44, while Kevin Rudd’s approval rating is down three points and his disapproval is up five.
Opinion poll
The polls: who got it right?
Here are the final week opinion poll results, writes Peter Brent.
Mumble poll-mix: Time is running out for the Coalition
The latest poll-mix has the government making modest ground since the election was called, from 44.5 to 45.5, closing the two party preferred gap from eleven points to nine. But even if the trend is on it’ll take until Christmas for the government to be competitive, writes Peter Brent.
Brent: More to economic management perceptions than poll numbers
The economy is the government’s strong suit, and Labor’s weak one. But Labor’s task is not to be perceived as better economic managers — it just needs to be seen as only a little bit iffy, writes Peter Brent.
Poll history repeats – but which piece?
The government will be hoping opinion poll history repeats. But which piece of history? Which previous Newspoll graph can the government take heart from? Peter Brent investigates.
Internet polling comes of age
Mention “online opinion poll” and a certain Disney cartoon character with big ears and red shorts (first name Mickey) comes to mind. And for good reason. Most, particularly of the “click here to tell us what do you think?” variety are just fluff and entertainment. But there are online polls and there are online polls., writes Peter Brent.
Poll of polls: entering unprecedented territory
Today’s ACNielsen makes it four in a row. Over the last fortnight each of the big polling outfits has published a set of results which has shown a jump in Labor’s already huge lead compared with the pollster’s previous result. Such unanimity among pollsters is actually quite rare.
Galaxy and the “bounce” that never was
Today’s opinion poll is from those wild and crazy folks at Galaxy. Published in the Murdoch tabloids, its results are unremarkable: Labor leads by 55-45 two-party preferred, off a primary vote of 46% to 41%. That’s a swing of just under 8%, slightly less than other polls in the last fortnight.
