The latest Newspoll is slightly less bad for Labor than what they’ve been growing accustomed to and the latest from Essential Research gives a status quo result, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll
State polling: WA, NSW, Victoria
Newspoll’s first quarter survey of 827 respondents in Western Australia shows the Coalition government maintaining its commanding position. In other news, Roy Morgan has conducted two micro-polls for NSW and Victoria, writes William Bowe.
Personality politics and polling as gallery goes ape for Rudd
The worst traits of the Press Gallery were on display again this week as it got collectively excited about Kevin Rudd.
Newspoll: 55-45 to Coalition
The latest fortnightly Newspoll proves the last poll, which showed a 51-49 lead to Labor, was an aberration. That lead has been obliterated by a six point shift to the Coalition, writes William Bowe.
First election simulation for 2011
With the Newspoll quarterly release this week, we now have enough data to aggregate the pollsters together, break the aggregated sample down into state based components and run our first election simulation for 2011, writes Possum Comitatus.
Newspoll quarterly
breakdown
The Australian has published its quarterly geographic and demographic breakdowns of federal polling data, which has Labor on 34 percent of the primary vote, the Coalition on 42 and the Greens on 13, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll: 64-36 to Coalition in NSW
The final pre-election Newspoll provides more evidence that the campaign hasn’t changed a thing: the Coalition primary vote is at 50%, Labor is on 23% and the Greens are on 12%, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland
The latest Newspoll reveals Anna Bligh is enjoying a record 49 point reversal on her net approval rating. Labor is currently ahead in Queensland 52-48 on two-party preferred, writes William Bowe.
Political snippets: The Australian poles apart on Newspoll
I guess when people look at opinion polls several years before an election they see what they want to see.
Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor
The latest Newspoll result shows a big surprise rebound for Labor after a string of poor polls. A 54-46 deficit recorded in the wake of the carbon tax announcement has been reversed to a 51-49 two-party preferred Labor lead, reports William Bowe.
Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition
The first carbon tax Newspoll has Labor receiving roughly the expected hit on voting intention, with a double dose for Julia Gillard personally, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll: 62-38 to Coalition in NSW
The latest NSW Newspoll has Labor on 23% and the Coalition on exactly double that, leveling out to 62-38 two party preferred, which in this unusual climate is actually good news for Labor, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll: back to 50-50
The Gillard government pulled itself up two points this fortnight to return to 50-50 in the two-party preferred. Julia Gillard opened a 53-31 lead over Tony Abbott as preferred prime minister, up from 48-35, writes William Bowe.
My name is Annabel Crabb and I’m a pollaholic
When you’re a political journalist, being obsessed with Newspoll and other polling comes as part of the territory. But Annabel Crabb is renouncing her long time devotion to the poll, saying last year should have taught journalist and this year she’s going “Polled Turkey.”
Newspoll: the ALP fall spreads to WA
From an already parlous position in July-September, WA Labor is down a point in the latest Newspoll on both the primary vote, now at 29%, and two-party preferred, with the Coalition now leading 58-42, reports William Bowe.
Newspoll: 61-39 to Coalition in NSW
The latest bi-monthly Newspoll shows the executioner’s axe continuing to hang over the head of the Labor government in New South Wales, with the Coalition leading the two-party preferred vote 61-39, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll quarterly
breakdown
Newspoll have distributed its quarterly geographic and demographic breakdowns, combining results from its six post-election surveys to obtain samples big enough for state, gender and metropolitan/regional breakdowns, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll: back to 50-50
The latest Newspoll has the two-party vote at 50-50, after an anomalous 52-48 in Labor’s favour a fortnight ago. The Labor lead from a fortnight ago may have proved ephemeral, but the improvement in Julia Gillard’s personal ratings has mostly stuck, reports William Bowe.
Shanahan: Labor’s popularity rise just a blip
The latest Newspoll does have Labor slightly ahead at 52-48, but the result is due to a dip in Coalition support and increased Greens voters. Don’t get excited about a honeymoon period, claims Dennis Shanahan.
Newspoll: Labor creeps ahead
After a fairly lengthy period where the phone pollsters marched in lock-step, Newspoll has broken away from the pack with a 52-48 two-party preferred lead for Labor, reports William Bowe.
Newspoll: 63-37 to Coalition in NSW
The latest NSW Newspoll finds Labor plumbing lows previously undreamt of, and the state’s optional preferential voting system is likely to make matters even worse for Labor by starving them of Greens preferences, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Victoria
The Australian reports the latest Victorian state Newspoll has Labor with a two-party lead of 52-48, a return to reality after the 55-45 lead they recorded in the July-August survey, writes William Bowe.
Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition
The latest Newspoll has the Coalition opening a 52-48 lead, with Labor’s primary vote down to a new low of 33 percent. There is speculation the fall has been driven by the Murray-Darling Basin report, writes William Bowe.
Abbott gets hit with Afghanistan flak
The latest Newspoll shows Tony Abbott’s approval ratings down 9%. Why? The Afghanistan issue — where he didn’t visit troops because he feared jetlag — reflected poorly in the polls and he might need to rethink the call for more Aussie troops.
