The first Morgan poll taken after the elevation of Malcolm Turnbull to the Liberal leadership has shown no bounce for the Coalition, writes Bernard Keane.
Morgan poll
Morgan poll: Numbers settling as reality sets in
New polling numbers suggest that voters are coming to grips with the new state of play in federal politics. By Bernard Keane.
Brendan Nelson’s poor polling continues
The latest Morgan poll will make for dispiriting but not unexpected reading for Brendan Nelson, writes Canberra correspondent Bernard Keane.
Industrial peace in our time?
As Workplace Relations Minister Julia Gillard turns up the pressure on the Coalition in an attempt to swiftly usher Labor’s industrial relations laws through parliament, new Roy Morgan research shows Australians expect little trouble at t’mill in the year ahead, writes Christian Kerr.
Confidence in jobs market poses IR reform challenges
Record numbers of Australians say they could find a new job quickly, while four out of five say their job is safe, according to a new survey by Roy Morgan Research on employment, writes Christian Kerr.
Everyone loves a winner: Morgan
The first Morgan Poll since the Rudd Government’s victory shows – surprise, surprise – an increase in Labor support, writes Christian Kerr.
Polling lessons from Election ’07
Two lessons from the election result and the polls: 1) As a basis for understanding what’s going on, data are better than gut instinct. 2) Polls conducted closest to election day are likely to be more accurate than those conducted earlier, write Irving Saulwick and Denis Muller.
The polls: who got it right?
Here are the final week opinion poll results, writes Peter Brent.
Same old same old: Morgan
The weekend before the party launches Coalition primary support was unchanged on 39% while Labor’s was up three points to 48, according to the latest face to face Morgan Poll, writes Christian Kerr.
What makes a poll a yardstick?
What makes one opinion poll the yardstick by which the media commentators measure what they think is really going on in the public mind? asks Denis Muller.
Rates rise, Coalition vote dives: Morgan Poll
The first major poll since this week’s interest rate rise shows a two point drop in the Coalition’s primary vote, writes Christian Kerr.
Coalition closes the gap: Morgan
With four weeks to go before the federal election, the latest face to face Morgan Poll show Labor 12 points ahead of the Coalition on a two party preferred basis, 56 to 44%, writes Christian Kerr.
How the votes are moving
Support for the Coalition dropped two points last month to 36.5%, while support for the ALP rose 4%, analysis of September Morgan face-to-face polling has found, writes Christian Kerr.
Morgan poll: 18% gap. If Parliament sits, they can have a spill
Here’s a good reason for Parliament to go back next week. Government MPs can bring on leadership spill. They’ve got little to lose, writes Christian Kerr.
ALP vote at highest level under Rudd: Morgan
Labor’s primary vote has reached its highest level since Kevin Rudd took over the leadership last year – 54%, a rise of 4.5 points – according to the latest poll from Roy Morgan Research. Support for Coalition has dropped 3.5 points to 36%, writes Christian Kerr.
PM says he’s going, Coalition vote improves
The Coalition’s primary vote is up by 3.5 points in the wake of John Howard’s announcement he will hand over the prime ministership at some stage during the next term if he wins the forthcoming election, the latest Morgan Poll has found.
A hard look at the soft Labor vote
Just who are the soft Labor voters we list in every Morgan Poll – those voters who say they intend to support the ALP, but also believe that the country is headed in the right direction?
Flint: Labor’s Bennelong vote could go soft
Morgan’s Bennelong poll finds that John Howard would be defeated 46.5% to 53.5%, but while the proportion of “soft” Coalition voters is about the national rate, 1:9, an unusually high number of Labor voters — about one in two — are considered “soft”.
Mixing the polls: Monday edition
Friday’s Morgan poll had federal Labor ahead of the government 59 to 41 two party preferred. Such a result, if repeated at an election – assuming a uniform swing – would translate to… well…you know the rest.
Labor leads 60/40: Morgan Poll
After last week’s swerve to the right, the latest Morgan Poll has Labor heading towards a solid election win.
First Kath & Kim, now Denis Shanahan
On Sunday the IR policy that dare not speak its name turned those aspirationals from Fountain Gate against John Howard. Today, the Newspoll has made Denis Shanahan bluntly warn: “John Howard has run out of time”.
Morgan Poll comes back in line but what will Newspoll do?
The Morgan Poll out last Friday has come back in to line with the other major pollsters having a two party preferred split of 45.5% for the Coalition and 55.5% for Labor which is almost spot on the average of all four polls.
Flint: polls v credibility, Cousins v Turnbull and Akerman’s “sleeper”
The polls cannot be taken as a serious indication of how people will vote in the election. Even the Keating government scored 46.4% in 1996, writes David Flint.
Coalition vote up 4.5%: Morgan poll
Support for the Coalition is on the increase, according to the latest Morgan Poll of federal voting intention. Pollster Gary Morgan cites the recent world market wobbles as a prime cause of a 4.5% lift in Coalition primary support in a face to face poll taken over the weekends of August 19/19 and August 25/26.
Union power a party divide: Morgan
Union power and voting intentions - a new Morgan Poll puts the numbers together. By Christian Kerr.
