tip off

Business as usual not enough in a disappointing MYEFO

With deficits as far as the eye can see, the government needs to work out how to encourage business investment. Crikey writers Bernard Keane and Glenn Dyer explain.

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CPI result shows soft wages offsetting the dollar

Australia’s already low inflation rate has fallen further, while wages are likely to remain subdued — meaning lower demand in the economy, something business isn’t very happy about, Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane write.

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Standard and Poor’s invents a poor debt standard. Let’s call their bluff!

Standard & Poor’s arbitrary warning about debt provides a great opportunity for Australia if we want to do something about the stubbornly high dollar, write Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane.

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Murray tackles ‘too big to fail’, but are we increasing the risk of failure?

The Murray financial services inquiry recognises we have an issue with “too big to fail” banks — while noting we are increasing the chances of failure through our love affair with property. Bernard Keane and Glenn Dyer write.

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Economy coming off the boil as Stevens sets things straight for the markets

The economy is losing steam in the second quarter of the year, and the budget didn’t help. But RBA governor Glenn Stevens says interest rates will be steady for a long time to come, Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane write.

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Hockey sings the 94 US cent budget blues — and wants the RBA to join in

If Joe Hockey is unhappy enough about the strong dollar to compromise the independence of the Reserve Bank, he should try being Treasurer when it’s above parity, write Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane.

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RBA relaxed about the dollar and investment

This month’s minutes from the RBA board meeting show the bank is more relaxed about the dollar than it used to be, Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane write.

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Cheer up, Joe: why the economy is doing better than Hockey says

The recent series of economic data illustrate the flaws in the government’s economic narrative, write Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane.

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Capex figures makes Hockey’s budget challenge that much harder

Yesterday’s private capital expenditure figures make for terrible reading — especially if you have a budget to prepare, Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane write.

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Wages non-growth and austerity potential traps for the economy

Weak wage growth and soft public demand could yet leave us stranded as we look for new sources of economic growth, Bernard Keane and Glenn Dyer write.

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It’s the transition, stupid — keeping property in context

Don’t blithely assume that the whole of Australia has a property bubble, write Crikey’s Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane. Glenn Stevens has different ideas.

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When impotence is the only policy option

Tony Abbott and Joe Hockey now face the same challenge that confronted Wayne Swan — how to handle a budget when the currency is too strong? Crikey writers Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane report.

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Is the dollar danger over? And what happens if it isn’t?

Conventional wisdom is that the Aussie dollar will continue to fall, delivering a boon to business and governments alike in coming years. What if it doesn’t, ask Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane?

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RBA decision sets the economic parameters of campaign

If the RBA cuts rates today, it will reflect how little support the government has provided the economy via the budget — a situation that’s not about to change, write Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane.

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Labor cover-up to hide successful economic management

The Labor government handled the economy with aplomb, avoiding the trap of the GFC. But economist and University of Queensland academic John Quiggin says the party did a good job of hiding it.

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Hang on, we got it wrong: ABS revises up a tepid economy

Mea culpa: the ABS has dramatically revised its take on the level of housing construction, signalling the economy is stronger than believed. Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane report.

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Bernanke’s caution and patience saving the US economy

US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke is not making the same mistakes policy-makers made during the 1930s Great Depression, writes Business Spectator commentator Stephen Koukoulas.

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RBA’s housing surge arrives at last

The recovery in housing the RBA was aiming for in the wake of the mining boom appears to be finally arriving.

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Swan’s final report card: a treasurer whose triumph was invisible

Wayne Swan is donning his hoodie and heading for the exit. So how did he rate as treasurer? Bernard Keane and Glenn Dyer argue, despite his inability to communicate, he was a success.

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A grand tour of economic risks to Australia

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy “tapering” will be a key influence on the economy for Aussie governments after the election — but Japan and China loom large as well. Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane report.

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Dollar SMASH! Commentariat changes its tune on strong currency

Forget the problems of a strong currency — suddenly the dollar is a symbol of national economic virility, write Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane.

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Where does the economic power now lie: Canberra or Sydney?

The Reserve Bank’s surprise rate cut in May is likely to prove the most significant economic event of the year, not the budget. Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane report.

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Steady as she goes from a slightly more optimistic RBA

The RBA, while cautious, sees growth returning to trend in 2014, an outcome a falling dollar will help bring about, write Crikey’s Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane.

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RBA guns the economic engines as govt applies the brakes

Yesterday’s surprise rate cut is designed to address both the strong dollar and a domestic economy struggling as governments slash spending, say Crikey writers Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane.

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Memo to the RBA: consider this before cutting rates

While we’re assuming there’ll be further interest rate cuts, the big banks have a more optimistic view of how the economy is travelling. Glenn Dyer and Bernard Keane report.

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