From Principal Rudd & Ja’mie Gillard, to all Labor MPs & Senators…
Maxine McKew
Team Kevin, John and Robert
Crikey understands that the left heavy, along with Victorian right powerbroker Robert Ray, has been hard at work on transition to government plans. They are also advising Rudd on the make up of the ministry, and are believed to be stressing experience, writes Christian Kerr.
New leader, new start
The Liberal Party is in desperate need of leadership, writes Christian Kerr.
Ninemsn calls it – seat by seat for Rudd
Labor leader Kevin Rudd will be elected next prime minister with a 6.8 per cent national swing against the Howard Government, a Ninemsn poll predicts.
Tips and rumours
Was Channel 10 the first to break the election media blackout with a Family First advertisement at 12:03am Thursday morning?
Hi Crikey, it’s 12:05am and I just saw two Liberal party advertisements (from 12:04am - checked using telephone time service) on Channel 10. One about unions, the other I hadn’t seen before about Labor’s effect on […]
Take a punt on Election ‘07
No election party is complete without a punt. It’s like watching the Melbourne Cup without previously making a trip to your local TAB, only to tell all your friends you knew the winner would get up. So what do to? Hack punter Leigh Josey has the answers.
Where Howard and Rudd campaign says so much
Where the two opposing political leaders spent yesterday tells us something about how they read the state of play in this election campaign, writes Richard Farner.
Stephen Mayne explains his crazy Costello campaign
Anyone for a spot of bank bashing? That’s what I’ll be doing for the next 24 days having yesterday successfully nominated to be the first independent candidate Peter Costello has faced in the seat of Higgins for many years, writes Stephen Mayne.
Kevin07 ups the ante in election 2.0
A week, as we’re dependably notified, is a long time in campaign politics. In the realm of Election 2.0, a week is at least as long again, writes Helen Razer.
Kohler: a rise for now, and another for Christmas
There will now definitely be a rate rise in November. The only question now is whether there will be another one in December as well, and whether the Reserve Bank will even bother waiting for the December quarter CPI in February to move a second time. As for November 7, the day after its next board meeting, if the RBA did not raise interest rates on November 7, it would be rightly seen as a blatantly political act.
Errington: Time to get over the election betting markets
Am I the only one who finds the newfound obsession with election betting markets just a little bit tacky? asks Wayne Errington.
A consensus forms: Labor a 70% chance of winning
The polls keep showing Labor a long way in front and if you believe that nothing is going to change public opinion between now and election day there is a wonderful opportunity to make a dollar.
Will Howard need to switch to a safe seat?
In a fiery Question Time yesterday, the PM declared: “I can beat the Leader of the Opposition without resort to smears.” On a federal level, that may well be true. But even if this happens, the question remains: can John Howard defeat Maxine McKew?
The Tuesday Top 20
Poor old Dollar Sweetie! As a reward for his bravery last week, he’s knocked Kevin Rudd down a slot to come in at Number Two in the Crikey/Media Monitors Top 20 for the very first time – but he’s still scoring less than half the media mentions of the PM.
Bennelong: I tipped this, says MacKerras
Back on 20 February the following words of mine were printed in Crikey: “Let me be the first pundit to predict that the Liberal Party will lose this year’s general election as a whole, and Bennelong in particular.” Those words were the result of my reading of a Morgan Crikey poll showing Labor ahead in Bennelong by 55-45. That was before it was known Maxine McKew would be Labor’s candidate.
Maxine now the favourite in Bennelong
John Howard is now the underdog not only to remain Prime Minister at the federal election but in his own seat of Bennelong as well. The Crikey Election Indicator for Bennelong now puts the probability of Maxine McKew winning Bennelong at 50.4%.
Election timing: the core issue revealed
The Federal election can’t and won’t be held on 20 October because everyone who lives in Bennelong can tell you, that’s the date of the Granny Smith Festival, writes Bennelong resident Andrew Elder.
A day in the life of a psephologist: MacKerras tells all
As a consequence of the publication this morning of the Newspoll in The Australian newspaper the Melbourne ABC personality John Faine rang me to talk about the marginal seats. However, he did not really do that. He began by asking me about this poll. Why was it so bad for Howard?
The Tuesday Top 20
Two people who you can bet don’t get invited around to Kirribilli House are the big movers in the Crikey/Media Monitors Top 20 for the week of 7-13 August.
Two puzzles in the election betting markets
If the polls are so lop-sided, then why aren’t the betting markets? Monday’s release of the latest AC Nielsen poll highlights an interesting discrepancy between the national polls and the betting markets., writes Simon Jackman.
Bush rains on Howard’s APEC parade
President Bush is leaving APEC early — before the prized silly-suit photo opportunity. So Prime Minister John Howard has started a hamfisted campaign to bring forward the photo session, writes Alex Mitchell.
Morning Market Report
The highlights and lowlights of this morning’s sharemarket activity.
Your Say: Daily Mail readers' feedback: Comments, corrections, clarifications, and c*ckups
Tower Books responds to A&R … What a load of self-serving twaddle from A&R … Crikey gets it so wrong on Morgan poll … Crikey’s God & p-rn sealed section … things not that bad in voterland? …
The ACT Labor Grand Senate Plan
If a band of Canberrans have their way, the ACT Senate election could be very interesting indeed. Christian Kerr reports.
Rates up, government vote down: Morgan
The Labor Party would win in a landslide if an election was held now, according to the latest telephone Morgan Poll. Morgan’s is the first major polling since Wednesday’s interest rate rise. Christian Kerr investigates. Meanwhile, here also is Richard Farmer’s Crikey Federal Election Indicator.
