Beyond Melbourne and the three big provincial cities are the 14 rural and regional seats. After losing Morwell and Narracan last time, Labor now holds none of them, and that state of affairs is expected to continue.
Marginal seats
One election, one paper, so many opinions
There’s always a variety of opinion in The Australian and never more so than on Saturday morning when there were two very different interpretations of some Newspoll research into voting intentions in marginal seats, writes Richard Farmer.
Comitatus: A very cunning plan
There is a way for a struggling party to make a comeback. But I wonder if any political party would ever have the balls to try it on? writes Possum Comitatus.
Mixing the polls: Tuesday edition
Today’s poll-mix, of a Morgan, Nielsen and Newspoll over the last fortnight, giving greater weight to the Newspoll because it is most recent (more here on the methodology) shows a 56 to 44 two party preferred in Labor’s favour.
Maxine now the favourite in Bennelong
John Howard is now the underdog not only to remain Prime Minister at the federal election but in his own seat of Bennelong as well. The Crikey Election Indicator for Bennelong now puts the probability of Maxine McKew winning Bennelong at 50.4%.
