tip off

Poll Bludger: why everyone (including me) failed to see Labor’s Qld win coming

The polls were unanimous: the LNP was going to retain government in Queensland. How did we all miss the great Labor comeback?

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Poll Bludger: Labor’s Queensland win came from a surprising corner

The LNP has had its collective arse handed to it, surprising just about everyone. What was the factor psephologists overlooked?

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Poll Bludger: LNP will hold on, but will Newman?

Labor is likely to do very well in the upcoming Queensland election, but probably not well enough to win government. But the real question is: will Queensland Premier Campbell Newman lose his own seat?

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The sincere plodder v the blustery major: Qld parties start their engines

The Queensland LNP and Labor launched their campaigns this week, with both focusing on one important issue: whether Campbell Newman should be premier.

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Poll Bludger: Newman’s relentlessly cheerful charm offensive

Labor and the LNP agree on one thing in their election campaigning: it’s all about Campbell Newman.

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Poll Bludger: Campbell’s gamble paid off — but it might not last until election day

Campbell Newman’s decision to call an early election looks like it’s paid off — but pollsters are right to be treating his rise in popularity with suspicion.

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Newman in the fight of his political life, with Abbott a major liability

Labor won’t have the votes to unseat the LNP at next year’s Queensland election, but it might be able to turf Campbell Newman out of his own seat.

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Even if LNP holds on, Newman looks like a goner

Queensland Premier Campbell Newman is something of a persona non grata these days — particularly in his own electorate.

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Poll Bludger: Sunshine State could deal Abbott govt a body blow

The federal Coalition’s standing in Queensland continues to deteriorate. One option could be to scapegoat the distressed Newman government. There’s just one problem: Queensland’s LNP is more popular (or, at least, less unpopular) than the Abbott government.

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Stafford byelection could be a preview of Newman’s undoing

Byelections are rarely happy occasions for governments, but the electoral test that faces Campbell Newman on Saturday is a gloomier prospect than most.

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QLD|

The ‘electoral reform’ song and dance in Queensland

The major parties are fired up about electoral reform in Queensland. But guess who benefits? The major parties, of course. Anthony Pink, data analyst and returning officer for the Queensland Greens, explains.

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A sting in the tail for the winner of Longman

Freelance journalist James Rose visits the Queensland seat of Longman and finds that whether pint-sized MP Wyatt Roy holds on or not, victory might not be all it’s cracked up to be.

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It’s Slipper v Brough, a battle of Shakespearean ennui

Freelance journalist James Rose is in the infamous seat of Fisher, with Peter Slipper on one side, Mal Brough on the other and apathy as far as the eye can see in between.

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Tips and rumours

Coup on ALP campaign staff … Hunting for ads in The Australian Financial Review … rumblings over women in the LNP …

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Richard Farmer’s chunky bits: LNP’s Pyrrhic victory

The LNP’s revenge could backfire as KAP founder Bob Katter is now talking of directing preferences to Labor at the forthcoming federal election.

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QLD|

Party mole: what’s going wrong in Campbell Newman’s LNP

As the Queensland government loses another MP today, an anonymous party insider explains what’s behind the Liberal-National Party turmoil and how Campbell Newman could try to fix it.

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All roads lead to Queensland

Brace yourselves as Queensland becomes the centre of the political universe …

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QLD|

Qld poll: Greens, Katter, indies the shape of things to come

Anna Bligh is expected to take Queensland back to the polls within weeks. In the third of a series of reports from Larvatus Prodeo, Mark Bahnisch looks at the impact of the independents and third parties.

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Truckies split on convoy protest … The Don takes willow to cricket heavies …

Bruce McIver is the driving force behind Queensland’s new Liberal National Party and the man who brought about the 2008 merger of the state’s two right-of-center parties. Also, truckies are split on convoy protest, and more…

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The Campbell Newman coup

Crikey readers have their say.

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Crikey Blogs | LINKS|

Galaxy: 55-45 to LNP in Queensland

Lost in the excitement of the NSW election has been a breathtaking Galaxy poll showing the Liberal National Party set to sweep to victory under the sort-of-leadership of Campbell Newman, writes William Bowe.

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Political donations: SA and Tassie rolling in election dough

Political donations data released by the Australian Electoral Commission yesterday shows a multi-million jump in donations for South Australia and Tasmania — the two states that held elections over the audit period.

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More LNP antics — this time from our old friend Michael Johnson

While Tony Abbott has done spectacular work to get the Coalition into a competitive position federally, the Liberal National Party has been quietly but effectively undoing all his work in Queensland.

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Crikey Blogs | QLD|

Bartlett: Queensland MPs show their true colours

Queensland Parliament is about to have a conscience vote on laws relating to voluntary surrogacy of children. But when freed from the constraints of the “party line”, it can be a bit disconcerting to find out what MPs really believe, says Andrew Bartlett.

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Tips and rumours: The McPherson LNP preselection candidates revealed

The blog post that got a Courier-Mail subbie sacked, no news probably isn’t good news for Ian Macfarlane, customs staff don’t land on Free Parking, and a tasty tip-off on the McPherson LNP preselection candidates.

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