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Poll Bludger: the pollster skewing towards the Coalition is not what you think

Everyone knows News Corp’s Newspoll is biased toward the Coalition, right? It’s a bit more complicated than that.

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Poll Bludger: calm down, Murdoch conspiracy theorists

Yes, Newspoll has recorded a fall in popularity for Labor. But don’t be too quick to blame Rupert Murdoch — the numbers tell a clearer story if you look a bit more closely.

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Essential: Hockey losing his mojo, voters unimpressed with job-seeker requirements

Latest Essential Report shows a reversal of Treasurer Joe Hockey’s standing, with 44% of voters disapproving of his performance compared to a 45% approval rating last November.

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Essential: little concern over a Liberal bluewash

Voters aren’t particularly concerned about the prospect of more Liberal-led governments at COAG. Meanwhile, Essential Research finds support for Tony Abbott’s government improving.

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Essential: unions undented by revelations; Cosgrove a popular pick

Tony Abbott’s selection of Peter Cosgrove as the next governor-general has been well-received by voters, today’s Essential Report finds.

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Essential: voters down on privatisation and the unemployed

Voters remain deeply opposed to any privatisation, even of things they’ve never heard of, this week’s Essential Report shows. And the view that the Newstart payment is too low isn’t widely shared by voters.

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Essential: public backs Abbott’s asylum seeker ‘war’

An Essential poll has found the Coalition’s tough line on asylum seekers is popular with the public, who don’t think most are genuine refugees. And people remain fairly evenly split on whether anthropogenic climate change is real.

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Essential: Abbott enjoying a summer holiday in the polls

One of the first polls of 2014 has found Tony Abbott and the Coalition are doing fine with voters — although the public certainly doesn’t like the idea of a $6 fee to visit the GP.

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Essential: and the winner is … Joe Hockey

Tony Abbott’s approval rating is heading backwards on his first sitting day as Prime Minister.

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Essential: and the final result is … up to Clive’s voters

Tony Abbott’s majority will depend on which was minor party voters direct their preferences, a state-by-state polling breakdown suggests.

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Essential: Greens surge keeps the major parties deadlocked

An unexpected surge to the Greens has seen Labor and the Coalition’s primary vote drop, leaving the election outcome in the balance.

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Essential: voters want aid, arts spending cut to curtail debt

The Coalition is onto something on its economic pitch to voters — they are worried about national debt, an Essential poll has found, and they do want spending cut to address it.

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Essential: Rudd renaissance pays off — but is it just a honeymoon?

The Rudd experiment has worked, fresh polling from Essential has found. Kevin Rudd is more popular than Gillard or Abbott, and Labor is back in the game at the election. But there is one note of caution for a resurgent Rudd in the numbers …

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Commercial TV ahead in political news but ABC trusted more

The ABC is the most trusted source of political news for voters, but they rely more heavily on commercial television and newspapers, and younger voters appear tuned out.

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Essential: whatever PM’s problems are, they’re not about policy

A poll has found simultaneously that the public likes most of Labor’s signature policy reforms from the last few years — but they just don’t like Labor itself.

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Richard Farmer’s chunky bits

The media are going big on predicting the end of the Gillard government. Plus other political views noted along the way.

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The Power Index: election deciders, the pollsters at #10

Polling will definitely influence the election outcome on September 14 — but not necessarily in the way you think. Evidence that polling directly influences how people vote is mixed — especially in Australia where nobody wants to be the front-runner.

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Essential: we’re ignorant on debt, and blame the government

A week out from what is expected to be a deficit budget, Essential asked voters their views on public debt. We’re pretty ignorant, and we blame the government for what we see as a problem.

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Essential: Labor supporters, look away now

The latest polling by Essential Research shows the public is judging the ALP more harshly than a year ago and the Coalition is ahead on almost every front, after a horror fortnight for Julia Gillard.

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Essential: are disgruntled Labor voters shifting to the Greens?

Labor’s leadership farce has cost it votes — but they’re not going to the Coalition, Essential Research finds. And the public was not terribly interested in Labor’s media reforms. Bernard Keane and Cathy Alexander report.

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Essential: Labor vote collapses, Greens deemed ‘too extreme’

Labor’s primary vote has dropped to just 32%, according to the latest Essential Research poll. Plus, Greens leader Christine Milne has only 20% of voters approval.

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Greens try for rebranding in the face of a falling vote

The Greens are on track to underperform compared with the 2010 election. In which case, getting your competitor to differentiate you isn’t such a bad strategy.

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Essential: ban all sports betting, says a public fed up with drugs

Dire warnings on drugs in sport have been taken up by the public, with Essential Research finding high levels of concerns about drugs (and betting) in sports. But fans won’t necessarily be turning off their TVs …

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Our trust in media: ABC still leads as commercial media struggle

Our commercial media have struggled to regain trust with Australians, while the ABC remains far ahead.

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Essential: don’t make me vote, especially for Abbott

Australians are not entirely convinced on compulsory voting and certainly don’t like being forced to give preferences. The latest poll from Essential Research shows a lack of public support for some of our electoral laws.

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