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Richard Farmer’s chunky bits

The media are going big on predicting the end of the Gillard government. Plus other political views noted along the way.

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The Power Index: election deciders, the pollsters at #10

Polling will definitely influence the election outcome on September 14 — but not necessarily in the way you think. Evidence that polling directly influences how people vote is mixed — especially in Australia where nobody wants to be the front-runner.

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Essential: we’re ignorant on debt, and blame the government

A week out from what is expected to be a deficit budget, Essential asked voters their views on public debt. We’re pretty ignorant, and we blame the government for what we see as a problem.

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Essential: Labor supporters, look away now

The latest polling by Essential Research shows the public is judging the ALP more harshly than a year ago and the Coalition is ahead on almost every front, after a horror fortnight for Julia Gillard.

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Essential: are disgruntled Labor voters shifting to the Greens?

Labor’s leadership farce has cost it votes — but they’re not going to the Coalition, Essential Research finds. And the public was not terribly interested in Labor’s media reforms. Bernard Keane and Cathy Alexander report.

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Essential: Labor vote collapses, Greens deemed ‘too extreme’

Labor’s primary vote has dropped to just 32%, according to the latest Essential Research poll. Plus, Greens leader Christine Milne has only 20% of voters approval.

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Greens try for rebranding in the face of a falling vote

The Greens are on track to underperform compared with the 2010 election. In which case, getting your competitor to differentiate you isn’t such a bad strategy.

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Essential: ban all sports betting, says a public fed up with drugs

Dire warnings on drugs in sport have been taken up by the public, with Essential Research finding high levels of concerns about drugs (and betting) in sports. But fans won’t necessarily be turning off their TVs …

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Our trust in media: ABC still leads as commercial media struggle

Our commercial media have struggled to regain trust with Australians, while the ABC remains far ahead.

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Essential: don’t make me vote, especially for Abbott

Australians are not entirely convinced on compulsory voting and certainly don’t like being forced to give preferences. The latest poll from Essential Research shows a lack of public support for some of our electoral laws.

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That’s not a push-poll, this is a push-poll

Crikey readers weigh in on the big issues of the day.

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Essential: Gillard pulls clear of a troubled Abbott

Tony Abbott is struggling with voters, and particularly female voters, according to new polling from Essential Research. And voters like Gonski’s recommendations on education.

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Cybercrime: rarer and less costly than we’re told

New polling from Essential Media debunks the overhyped claims made by computer security companies and politicians about cybercrime and identity theft.

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Essential: why the world still judges a woman on her high heels

An Essential poll has found that on some indicators — particularly concerning appearance — sexism appears to be getting worse.

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Generation game: age a factor in views on Abbott v Gillard

It seems old Queensland blokes like Tony Abbott and young Victorian women like Julia Gillard, detailed polling finds. But some of the poll results are more surprising …

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Crikey Blogs | FEDERAL|

Essential: did Gillard’s misogyny speech help both leaders?

The first polling conducted since the PM’s polarising speech on sexism and misogyny finds both leaders with their highest “strongly approve” ratings in well over a year, reports William Bowe.

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Essential: we love Laurie and Aunty, but who’s Andrew Bolt?

An Essential Research poll has found Laurie Oakes and George Negus are the most trusted media commentators, while Alan Jones and Andrew Bolt come last.

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Essential: racism a concern — ‘but not for me’

Racism is the most concerning form of intolerance, according to an Essential poll — but an impressive two-thirds of us have never experienced any form of intolerance.

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Why education matters (politically): it’s Gillard’s last hope

Education matters to most voters. Which is why Labor will today attempt to shift the debate to address the reforms outlined by the Gonski report. It’s Julia Gillard’s last roll of the dice.

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Essential: class warfare tag not winning voters

Australians don’t buy the Coalition’s argument that the government is engaging in “class warfare”, according to new polling from Essential Research. A quarter of the electorate don’t know what to think, but a near majority believe the government is trying to ensure all Australians benefit from the mining boom and other wealth derived from Australia’s […]

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Essential: Coalition needed for another global downturn

Australians acknowledge our relative economic health compared to the rest of the world, but wouldn’t trust Labor to lead us out of another economic downturn.

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Crikey Blogs | FEDERAL|

Essential Research: 56-44 to Coalition

This week’s Essential Research shows no real change in voting intention on last week, with the Coalition up a point on the primary vote to 49%, Labor and the Greens steady on 31% and 11%, reports William Bowe.

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Crikey Blogs | FEDERAL|

Newspoll and Essential: Abbott our preferred PM

Tony Abbott has seized the lead as preferred prime minister in the latest Newspoll, gaining four to 41% with Gillard down one to 39%. His approval ratings are up in both Essential and Newspoll, reports William Bowe.

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Essential: the budget deficit is all Gillard’s fault

Voters blame the federal budget deficit mainly on economic mismanagement by the government, with the latest Essential Research poll also showing Labor’s primary vote taking a sharp cut.

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Essential: they’re arrogant and out of touch, Gillard and Abbott

Julia Gillard is seen as a vastly less capable, intelligent and hard-working leader than she was two years ago, new polling reveals.

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