The eagerly awaited Newspoll results are in: Labor bouncing from last fortnight’s 52-48 quirk to 56-44. Meanwhile, the latest Essential report has lurched from 59-41 to 55-45, the lowest lead for Labor so far.
Essential Report
Australians scathing over Rudd’s Timor Sea inaction
This week’s Essential Report comes in steady at 59-41, but Rudd’s approval rating has taken a hit. The poll also found 75% of Australians believe the Government would have done much more to prevent damage caused by the Timor Sea oil spill if it had happened somewhere like the the Great Barrier Reef.
Possum: The first big poll on asylum seekers
The long awaited polling on public perceptions of the asylum seeker issue is in, finding 52% think the Government is too weak on border protection and 66% support the decision to turn back boats. Possum Comitatus has more.
Poll Bludger: Labor’s mega-lead remains impenetrable
The latest Essential Research poll shows Labor’s mega-lead remaining imprevious to anything domestic or international push or pull factors might throw at it, says William Bowe.
Poll: ETS too soft on big-business
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two party preferred vote of 59-41 — a 1-point gain to the ALP — and also finds one-third of Australians think the government’s emissions trading scheme goes too far in favouring big business.
Australians don’t blame Rudd for interest rate rise
The latest Essential Report reveals some surprising public opinions: 55% of Australians believe the latest interest rate hike reflects a positive trend in the economy, not “reckless and excessive stimulus spending”. Possum Comitatus has the rest.
Possum: Coalition’s “economic legacy” in tatters
A new Essential Report has found the public have a favourable view of the Rudd government’s economic management, and they’re dismissing every single economic angle the Opposition has been raising as an attack for the past six months.
Poll: Libs up, but Turnbull gets a thumbs down
The latest Essential Report has the Liberal Party up two points with a two-party of 58-42, but an overwhelming majority think Turnbull hasn’t got the temperament or judgment to be a party leader.
Essential Report: Voters get on board with Kevin 747
This week’s Essential Report asked questions this week on Kevin Rudd’s foreign affairs, finding Australians thought he did a bang-up job at the recent G20 and UN meetings, and reckon he’s putting up a good (if a little rotund) face for Australia in the international community.
A tale of two polls: Newspoll: 58-42, Essential: 60-40
Two polls released today tell a very sad story for the Coalition, a 3-point jump for the ALP in the latest Newspoll to 58-42, and a 1-point ALP increase in the latest Essential Report to 60-40.
Big tick for Beazley/Nelson
appointments
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two-party preferred vote of 59-41 -– a 1-point gain to the ALP — and finds Aussies give a thumbs-up to Brendan Nelson and Kim Beazley’s ambassadorial appointments.
Essential Report: Coalition makes gains
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two party preferred of 59-41 -– a 2-point gain to the Coalition. Possum Comitatus has all the figures.
How the religious vote
In Australia, Catholics still support the ALP heavily, while Anglicans still support the Coalition heavily over the ALP. Religion is a remarkably good indicator of voting habits for a society that’s not overtly religious, says Possum.
Essential Report: what if Turnbull joined the ALP?
Some interesting questions in the latest Essential Report, says Possum. Like how close together people perceive Australia’s two political parties to be — and whether people would care if Malcolm Turnbull swung left.
Essential report: Turnbull loses control
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two-party preferred of 60-40 — a 2-point gain to the ALP — with additional questions finding a clear majority of Coalition voters don’t believe Malcolm Turnbull is in control of the Liberal Party.
Essential Report redux and the perils of push polling
Possum Comitatus crunches all the data from the latest Essential Report and explains the problems with “push polls” and why good pollsters don’t use them.
Essential Report: Rudd vs. Howard
This week’s Essential Report has a two-party preferred of 58-42 –- a two-point drop for the ALP — and also included cracker question on how the public rate Rudd compared to Howard on a series of public policy issues. Possum Comitatus crunches the numbers.
More polling problems for Turnbull
This week’s Essential Report comes in a two party preferred of 60-40 — a one point increase to the ALP — while Malcolm Turnbull’s support rating has dropped to 22%.
Essential Research: Labor leaps again
This week’s Essential Report comes in with a two-party preferred of 59/41 — the ALP gaining two points, up from 57-43 last week and 56-44 the week before. Possum crunches the numbers.
The economy, Hu and Uluru
Essential Report’s latest poll focused on the economy, the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme, China and Uluru. Possum Comitatus crunches the numbers.
Essential Report: 59/41
Another poll, another episode of death by increments in the vote estimates. This week’s Essential Report come in with a two party preferred of 59/41 — a 1-point increase for the ALP.
Essential Report: 57-43
Possum Comitatus wraps the latest Essential Report -– a one point gain to the ALP — and takes down Christian Kerr in one fell swoop.
Essential Report: Labor’s lead narrows
This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries running 49 (down 3) / 35 (up 3) to Labor, washing out into a two party preferred of 59/41 the same way.
Budget causes Rudd honeymoon to end… according to Fairfax
Nielsen never actually demonstrated the political change that Fairfax had projected onto it — it was just poor analysis.
Essential Report: Ruddnet China and budget edition
This week’s Essential Report comes in with the primaries running to the ALP 51 (down 3)/34 (up 2), for a two party preferred of 61/39 — the ALP dropping 2 points from the stratospheric highs of 63.
