Economic forecasts


Think you see green shoots? You’re wrong

Don’t believe the optimists, says Nouriel Roubini — the contraction of consumption will remain a drag on households for years.

Fed fallout to spread far and wide

The US Federal Reserve’s forecasts send a grim message: not only will American unemployment be higher for longer, but so will jobless levels in other economies.

Financial bubble about to burst, again

We are witnessing a bubble, semi-popped, providing its makers with a few final glimpses of joy, before vanishing completely.

Economists: what are they good for?

They didn’t see the GFC coming, they don’t know when it will bottom out, and they don’t know when growth will return and at what rate — why do we have economists again? asks Terence Corcoran.

UK economy under review after budget blowout

The UK doesn’t played a part in the global financial crisis, but to have judgment passed by the people who helped cause the mess in the first place is very, very troubling.

Political snippets: Sceptically looking for the green shoots

Richard Farmer sees no “glimmers of hope” for the economy and reflects on hard-drinking politicians.

Australia will avoid the worst of the IMF’s doom

While the IMF continues to spout negativity over the state of the economy, commentators should exercise caution when adapting its analysis to Australia.

Political snippets: Think tanks as lobbyists

John Faulkner should remember the influence and power of think tanks when reviewing the effectiveness of the federal lobbyists register.

US Fed beefs up economic forecasts

Next Tuesday, the US Federal Reserve will release significantly expanded economic forecasts as part of a major upgrade of its disclosure; a move that will highlight the lack of adequate disclosure by the RBA, writes Glenn Dyer.