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Leadership number crunch: Gillard ahead, but gap closing

Who would win a leadership showdown between Julia Gillard and Kevin Rudd? Crikey looks at each Labor MP and crunches the numbers — and we find the gap is narrowing. We also look at who the key figures are. Watch this space …

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Richard Farmer’s chunky bits: meet your monkey cousin

So after all these months NSW Labor finally expels Eddie Obeid and Ian Macdonald. They are a speedy lot in Sussex Street.

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Tips and rumours

Olivia Wirth spotted meeting with former boss … should Dreyfus face the music for phone faux pas? … Foxtel reckons Murdoch is a “young misfit” …

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Labor contenders jostle for top spot in Vic Upper House race

Crikey brings you the inside word on who’s gearing up to run for the hotly contested Victorian Upper House electorate of Western Metro.

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Whatever happened to the warts-and-all review of the ALP?

Two years ago, Labor held a comprehensive review to fix the party’s problems. Things have gone from bad to worse for Labor, while a Crikey report card finds most of the report’s recommendations have not been implemented. Crikey intern Ben Westcott looks at what happened to the report.

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Crikey Blogs | FEDERAL|

BludgerTrack: 56.5-43.5 to Coalition

Two more grim poll results send Labor further south in the latest weekly poll aggregate, writes Poll Bludger’s William Bowe.

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Essential: Labor supporters, look away now

The latest polling by Essential Research shows the public is judging the ALP more harshly than a year ago and the Coalition is ahead on almost every front, after a horror fortnight for Julia Gillard.

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Crikey Blogs | FEDERAL|

Newspoll quarterly aggregate: January-March

The latest Newspoll quarterly aggregates have Labor down three points in Victoria, two in New South Wales and Western Australia, and one in Queensland and South Australia, writes William Bowe.

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The 15 shades of Gary Gray — Labor on the edge of the abyss

What’s wrong with Labor? Well, everything … but here are at least 15 of the reasons. Let’s start with Gary Gray.

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Ruddversal: Labor goes from very bad to even worse

Labor is now a bitterly-divided party with considerable talent sitting idle on the backbench and a huge defeat looming. The main question is will Tony Abbott win both houses of Parliament?

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Gillard’s leadership intact, but her wrecked party is not

A very tough Julia Gillard came through today’s spill with her leadership intact. But what’s the damage done to the ALP, and how on earth can the party come back from this to win the election?

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Richard Farmer’s chunky bits

Who is going to lead Labor at the next election, the only positive about the Cyprus bank crisis, and other political issues of the day.

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Alan Jones’ show irrelevant

Crikey readers have their say on Alan Jones, heckling Bob Hawke and privatisation

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Richard Farmer’s chunky bits

The Labor brand seems to be in decline across the country, and other political stories of the day.

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Memo to Libs: weak ranks lead to accidental leaders

Tony Abbott is right — there is a big difference between the oustings of Kevin Rudd and Ted Baillieu. The Labor Party had a decent alternative, writes freelance writer and electoral analyst Stephen Luntz.

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Our sordid triangle of xenophobia over 457 visas

Labor’s exploitation of the 457 visa issues is just part of an attempt by all three parties to exploit immigration fears. Politicians are accusing each other of being soft, as the immigration debate plumbs new depths.

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Does the Labor narrative narrative stand up?

We all complain Labor lacks a narrative. But what if positive narratives are now impossible to effectively communicate? Look overseas and it may well be the case.

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WA|

Labor insider: Barnett’s re-election not entirely certain

The Liberal campaign in WA has been a chaotic mess, with Colin Barnett’s Labor challenger Mark McGowan running well. Think the Liberals will be handily re-elected? Look closer, says former Labor adviser Luke Walladge.

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Senate race: polling shows challenge to Greens power

Even on current polling Labor could retain some control of the Senate with the help of the Greens in the balance of power position, exclusive new polling from Essential Research reveals.

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Tips and rumours

Labor takes foreign cash … Fin writer takes on the scientists … who’s employed a drug dealer, besides (allegedly) Essendon? …

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The economy if Labor wins: industry and construction the keys

Labor’s commitment to manufacturing differentiates it from the Coalition on economic policy, but both sides will face the same challenge no matter who wins the election. Bernard Keane and Glenn Dyer report.

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Nova Peris deserves to be there

Crikey readers give their two cents.

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Parliament shouldn’t need to engineer diversity

Crikey readers go bang.

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Tips and rumours

Which pollie’s office has been sending out shit sheets? … Alan Jones, boned again … should credit cards be mailed to you? …

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Rundle: why Tanner is wrong — and right

Lindsay Tanner’s claim that the ALP stands for nothing is out. Labor’s problem lies in what it does stand for.

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