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Whatever the forecasts contained in tonight’s budget, they will almost certainly be wrong. Plus other political views along the way.

Which Labor candidate won’t wear red? … AAP journos to rule budget lock-up … Clive Palmer should name his party this …

Julia Gillard probably can’t expect a late rally of support for the ALP before the election — but she can take heart that it’s not her fault

Sycophantic journos at anti-News Limited have fallen in line to praise their colleague Nick Cater’s new book to the skies. It’s a Culture clash that deserves greater scrutiny.

Ahead of the budget, Crikey asked economist John Quiggin what he would do if he were Wayne Swan. Tax hikes on the rich and a lift in the GST to pay for improved services — and don’t panic about the deficit.

On the northern fringe of Adelaide, Wakefield has a safe-looking double-digit Labor margin — but indications of a strong statewide swing have given the Libs hope, writes William Bowe.

Labor’s poor performances in 2010 may ensure it only loses the next election, rather than being wiped out.

Crikey and the Centre for Policy Development have joined forces to track what’s at stake in the 2013 election across key policy areas.

The ABC has announced a new team dedicated to checking up on pollies’ spin, and US website PolitiFact is also opening an Australian division.

As part of our Promise Watch series, Crikey and the Centre for Policy Development examine pledges from the two major parties on education. Andrew Crook and the CPD’s Julia Hosking report.

Labor slides even further … but can a koala save the Greens? This and other snippets from Richard Farmer.

Julia Gillard faced a crowd of undecided voters in Melbourne last night — and the public’s apparent hostility to her government was nowhere to be seen. Crikey intern Kylar Loussikian was there.

Two years ago, Labor held a comprehensive review to fix the party’s problems. Things have gone from bad to worse for Labor, while a Crikey report card finds most of the report’s recommendations have not been implemented. Crikey intern Ben Westcott looks at what happened to the report.

Two more grim poll results send Labor further south in the latest weekly poll aggregate, writes Poll Bludger’s William Bowe.

National campaign director of the newly formed WikiLeaks Party, Greg Barns, outlines how Julian Assange could become a Senator — and how to deal with the pesky not-actually-in-Australia issue.

Urban development has transformed the one-time National/Country Party stronghold of Richmond over the last few decades, with present incumbent ALP MP Justine Elliot building up a solid margin, says William Bowe.

A speech Bernard Keane delivered in Hobart at the invitation of CEO Tasmania examining the major challenges for the Australian economy and the forthcoming federal election.

The eastern and outer southern Hobart seat of Franklin has been in the Labor fold for two decades, but the party is said to have grave fears for the seat amid a state-wide collapse in support.

Labor is now a bitterly-divided party with considerable talent sitting idle on the backbench and a huge defeat looming. The main question is will Tony Abbott win both houses of Parliament?

From her 2007 election as deputy prime minister to the challenges from Kevin Rudd, Crikey maps Julia Gillard’s political timeline …