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Articles by William Bowe

Poll Bludger: ICAC’s kiss of death to clear a path for independents

The fallout from last week’s ICAC hearings will likely upset the applecarts of both major parties. With two looming NSW byelections, who will fill the void? Or rather, who still has credibility in the eyes of the public?

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Poll Bludger: calm down, Murdoch conspiracy theorists

Yes, Newspoll has recorded a fall in popularity for Labor. But don’t be too quick to blame Rupert Murdoch — the numbers tell a clearer story if you look a bit more closely.

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Poll Bludger: Kiwi election campaign ramps up, with pirates lurking

New Zealanders will go to the polls in September, and another minority government is likely. But an Internet Party joint ticket could prove an interesting spanner in the works.

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Abetz pulls a Bernardi and goes off-script

Among all the Liberal own goals last week, William Bowe nominates Senator Abetz for worst-on-ground for his unforced error through the minefield of abortion.

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Poll Bludger: Abbott’s ‘women problem’

A deeper look into post-election polling trends reveals historical distinctions in how men and women react to leaders and political events — and why Tony Abbott may have real cause for concern with the female vote.

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Why 18C was the policy retreat the Coalition had to have

The Coalition’s constituency is becoming more ethnically diverse, and it turns out many of its constituents don’t want the right to be bigots.

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Poll Bludger: Muir debacle may send voters back into the arms of major parties

The fall out from Senator Ricky Muir’s sacking of chief-of-staff Glenn Druery last week is likely to be sending voters a strong signal about the pitfalls of political inexperience.

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Poll Bludger: MH17 lifts Abbott’s numbers, but votes another story

The latest polls show an improvement in Tony Abbott’s personal ratings but don’t hide the fact that he is still deep in the doldrums despite his post-MH17 performance.

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PUP could be a force to be reckoned with in 2015 Qld election

Although some of Clive Palmer’s aspirations remain unrealised, there are historical reasons to expect his Palmer United Party will prove a contender when Queenslanders go to the polls next year.

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Will anyone miss Nielsen polling?

As the last ever Nielsen poll is published, the Coalition may be hoping for too much if they’re expecting an opinion poll bounce in the wake of Abbott’s handling of MH17.

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Labor takes a hard look at its union dominance

Senator John Faulkner’s proposed reform for state conference to surrender upper house voting power to the party membership does not look promising.

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Poll Bludger: alarm bells for Campbell Newman after Stafford drubbing

The Labor Party’s Stafford byelection win threatens the security of Newman’s nearby Ashgrove seat, where his 5.7% margin is looking distinctly fragile.

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Poll Bludger: Palmer riding high as Abbott continues to dive

Latest polls show Labor well ahead while growing support emerges for Palmer United.

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Stafford byelection could be a preview of Newman’s undoing

Byelections are rarely happy occasions for governments, but the electoral test that faces Campbell Newman on Saturday is a gloomier prospect than most.

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Poll Bludger: Greens riding high in WA

Labor is comfortably ahead on a two-party preferred basis, and the latest Newspoll results show support for minor parties blossoming in Western Australia.

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What’s the AEC got to hide?

Questions are being asked about the transparency of the Australian Electoral Commission, with the AEC refusing to open its vote-counting software to public scrutiny. Does the AEC have a reason to be so secretive?

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Labor’s lead stretches to 53-47 as budget gloom lingers

It looked for a while like the Coalition’s numbers were going to turn around, but this week’s BludgerTrack shows Labor still ahead.

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Tassie may hold the govt to ransom on the RET

Tasmania punches well above its weight in terms of political influence — and the state’s aluminium smelting industry is not happy with keeping the Renewable Energy Target.

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Voter ID laws will fix what ain’t broke

Australia’s first voter ID laws will be put to the test next month in a Queensland byelection. The public is increasingly worried about lax identification requirements at polling booths — but with very little voter fraud, are increased measures necessary?

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Poll Bludger: meet the senators who hold the balance of power

Tony Abbott will have to woo the Palmer United senators and a few more to get any of his legislation passed. Let’s look at the new senators who will be standing in the way of an Abbott agenda.

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With fancy footwork, Napthine buys time

Victoria is less likely to be heading to an early election, with the Napthine government skillfully heading off Labor’s plan to oust independent MP Geoff Shaw.

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Common sense prevails in Senate preferential voting changes

After the debacle of the Senate election last year, Parliament is looking at changing the way Australians vote. And for once, the changes actually make a good deal of sense.

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Yes, ministers push for minor party preference reform

The major parties are reportedly considering an interesting new approach to Senate electoral reform: denying you your right to have your preferences distributed if you haven’t chosen the right party.

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Palmer, Greens win the West — now Abbott must play ball

The major parties had an unprecedented 58% of the vote in a clear sign voters are looking for alternatives. The Greens, who outspent Labor and the Coalition, were big winners, as was Palmer United.

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Palmer, Ludlam … and pot? Who can win the Senate in the wild west

The recall Western Australian Senate election is effectively a race for three seats — and Clive Palmer will probably decide it one way or another. Crikey’s polling analyst previews the race.

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Womens Agenda

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Smart Company

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Property Observer

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