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Articles by William Bowe

Key likely to hold on, but it hasn’t been an easy road

New Zealand goes to the polls tomorrow, and it is likely to return the Key government. But there are some wildcards.

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Poll Bludger: war is good business for the Greens

As Labor falls in line with the Coalition on Iraq, the Greens pick up support among doves.

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Scotland could have got away if it weren’t for those meddling kids

The “no” vote for Scottish independence leads by a whisker — and non-traditional voters (i.e. teenagers) are not turning out to be the republicans the “yes” camp had hoped.

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Poll Bludger: Abbott’s dismal poll performance the worst since Whitlam

There has not been much of a honeymoon period for the Abbott government, with approval for the government and for Abbott dismally low.

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Poll Bludger: why the Coalition can afford to throw SA under the submarine

Will abandoning its promise to build new submarines in South Australia hurt the Coalition’s chances in that state? Probably — but does it need SA to win at the next election anyway?

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Poll Bludger: the pollster skewing towards the Coalition is not what you think

Everyone knows News Corp’s Newspoll is biased toward the Coalition, right? It’s a bit more complicated than that.

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Poll Bludger: chair-sniffer’s resignation robs Labor of an enduring gift

Yesterday morning, former Western Australian treasurer Troy Buswell resigned, ending his political career on his own terms. Unfortunately for Labor, the resulting byelection is unlikely to further ruffle the state’s already embattled Liberal government.

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Poll Bludger: Labor’s party reform a gift to Newman

Labor’s Queensland branch has become the latest to reform its procedure for choosing party leaders, after last week’s state conference ratified a move to grant a share of the vote to the party membership.

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Poll Bludger: a tale of two state Liberal governments

It is the best of times (for Mike Baird), it is the worst of times (for Denis Napthine). How is it that the NSW government is able to maintain the goodwill of voters, while its Victorian counterpart languishes?

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Poll Bludger: NSW Libs can’t stop the rot as ICAC claims another soul

The NSW Liberals are hemorrhaging MPs in the wake of ICAC investigations. The latest victim is Londonderry MP Bart Bassett, whose recent history shows branch-stacking and factional squabbles aren’t just for Labor.

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Poll Bludger: SA Libs should embrace the American dream

The South Australian Liberal Party is trying to bastardise the Westminster system further to deliver it the results it wants. But Crikey’s Poll Bludger says that’s a lost cause — it’s time to think bigger.

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Poll Bludger: Sunshine State could deal Abbott govt a body blow

The federal Coalition’s standing in Queensland continues to deteriorate. One option could be to scapegoat the distressed Newman government. There’s just one problem: Queensland’s LNP is more popular (or, at least, less unpopular) than the Abbott government.

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Poll Bludger: Liberals try again to weed out Clover

The NSW Liberal Party has a thorn in its side in the shape of Clover Moore. Since the people of Sydney love their Lord Mayor, what to do? Give businesses more votes.

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Poll Bludger: ICAC’s kiss of death to clear a path for independents

The fallout from last week’s ICAC hearings will likely upset the applecarts of both major parties. With two looming NSW byelections, who will fill the void? Or rather, who still has credibility in the eyes of the public?

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Poll Bludger: calm down, Murdoch conspiracy theorists

Yes, Newspoll has recorded a fall in popularity for Labor. But don’t be too quick to blame Rupert Murdoch — the numbers tell a clearer story if you look a bit more closely.

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Poll Bludger: Kiwi election campaign ramps up, with pirates lurking

New Zealanders will go to the polls in September, and another minority government is likely. But an Internet Party joint ticket could prove an interesting spanner in the works.

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Abetz pulls a Bernardi and goes off-script

Among all the Liberal own goals last week, William Bowe nominates Senator Abetz for worst-on-ground for his unforced error through the minefield of abortion.

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Poll Bludger: Abbott’s ‘women problem’

A deeper look into post-election polling trends reveals historical distinctions in how men and women react to leaders and political events — and why Tony Abbott may have real cause for concern with the female vote.

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Why 18C was the policy retreat the Coalition had to have

The Coalition’s constituency is becoming more ethnically diverse, and it turns out many of its constituents don’t want the right to be bigots.

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Poll Bludger: Muir debacle may send voters back into the arms of major parties

The fall out from Senator Ricky Muir’s sacking of chief-of-staff Glenn Druery last week is likely to be sending voters a strong signal about the pitfalls of political inexperience.

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Poll Bludger: MH17 lifts Abbott’s numbers, but votes another story

The latest polls show an improvement in Tony Abbott’s personal ratings but don’t hide the fact that he is still deep in the doldrums despite his post-MH17 performance.

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PUP could be a force to be reckoned with in 2015 Qld election

Although some of Clive Palmer’s aspirations remain unrealised, there are historical reasons to expect his Palmer United Party will prove a contender when Queenslanders go to the polls next year.

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Will anyone miss Nielsen polling?

As the last ever Nielsen poll is published, the Coalition may be hoping for too much if they’re expecting an opinion poll bounce in the wake of Abbott’s handling of MH17.

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Labor takes a hard look at its union dominance

Senator John Faulkner’s proposed reform for state conference to surrender upper house voting power to the party membership does not look promising.

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Poll Bludger: alarm bells for Campbell Newman after Stafford drubbing

The Labor Party’s Stafford byelection win threatens the security of Newman’s nearby Ashgrove seat, where his 5.7% margin is looking distinctly fragile.

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Womens Agenda

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Smart Company

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Property Observer

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