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Articles by William Bowe

Poll Bludger: it ain’t over yet for Abbott

Previous governments have recovered from polls as bad as Abbott’s.

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Poll Bludger: what happens when the ‘wrong’ candidate wins

A complicated loophole in vote-counting legislation has awarded a seat to Labor that should have gone to the Country Alliance in Victoria.

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Poll Bludger: Andrews faces a daunting challenge in Vic upper house

With the excitement of an election win behind him, incoming Victorian premier Daniel Andrews must get to work on managing the makeup of his parliament.

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Poll Bludger: could the Greens be coming for Turnbull?

The Greens’ electoral success in Prahran was due to a number of demographic factors, with the seat an interesting mixture of hip young things and old money. Sounds like a certain federal Sydney seat we know …

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Poll Bludger: SA byelection a canary in the electoral coal mine for fed Coalition

Labor’s surprise victory in a byelection for the South Australian state seat of Fisher at the weekend can be largely attributed to the plummeting stocks of the Abbott government.

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Poll Bludger: fed govt gaffes could hurt Libs’ chances in SA byelection

The death of independent MP Bob Such has triggered a byelection in the South Australian seat of Fisher. It looked like an easy Liberal win, but things aren’t so certain now.

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Poll Bludger: have we reached a Greens zenith?

The Greens have finally won a Victorian lower house seat, but their primary vote has not increased since last election. Is the minor party on its way up, or is this all the support it will be able to manage?

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Poll Bludger: shape of Vic’s new Parliament far from clear

While we know enough to say it’s curtains for Napthine’s Liberals, the precise make-up of Victoria’s new government won’t be known until the last ballot is tallied.

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Poll Bludger: the top five Victorian bellwether seats

Victoria heads to the polls on Saturday, and things look pretty grim for the Liberal party, as they try desperately to hold on to some of these battleground seats.

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Poll Bludger: Vic Libs heading for the rocks as independents snipe

The result of Saturday’s Victorian election is all but known for the Liberals — they are likely to be thrown out. But some independents are throwing a spanner in the works for Labor.

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Poll Bludger: is Victoria in for a new crop of Lambies and Muirs?

Micro-parties could well be in for some seats in Victoria’s upper house, with the Shooters and Fishers and the Country Alliance contenders to get over the line.

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Poll Bludger: Obama-Xi deal spoilt Abbott’s hoped-for G20 bounce

The Abbott government’s woeful polling numbers might not rebound in any significant way for quite some time.

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Poll Bludger: why Greens win federally, but struggle in Vic

The Greens are polling well in the lead up to the Victorian state election, but the party has always struggled to turn strong polling into lower house seats.

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Poll Bludger: panicked pollies scramble for seats as electoral lines shift

The AEC’s decision to cut the number of House of Representative seats has started an uneasy game of musical chairs.

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Poll Bludger: Aussie public takes Left turn as US voters polarise

American voters have been pulling steadily away from the centre over the past ten years, but Australia has moved solidly Left.

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Poll Bludger: federal budget still haunts Vic Libs’ election campaign

With less than a month before the Victorian state election, polls indicate the state government’s popularity is still suffering from Hockey’s ill-received budget.

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Poll Bludger: redistribution of seats a game changer in Vic election

Since the 2010 election, the shape of Victoria’s electorates has changed dramatically — once-safe Labor seats are now notionally Liberal, and vice versa.

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Poll Bludger: in the US midterms, can Obama do a Clinton?

With the Republicans set to retain control of Congress after Tuesday’s US midterm elections, the Democrats will be hoping Obama can channel Bill Clinton, the only second-term president to retain a strong showing for his party in the Senate.

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Poll Bludger: Fairfax’s Labor landslide too good to be true, but Liberals still on shaky ground

Fairfax’s new pollster might result in better headlines, but a closer look reveals the truth.

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Poll Bludger: McKay forced to accept a parachute as byelections spell trouble for Labor

Even after ICAC revelations tarnish Liberals, NSW Labor still struggles to win public support in weekend byelection.

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Poll Bludger: voters spoilt for choice in NSW byelections

Looming byelections in the NSW seats of Newcastle and Charlestown will be an all-in (except for the Libs, of course) multi-party splash.

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Poll Bludger: would a modern-day Gough solve voters’ malaise?

Australia needs a practically minded leader with a sensitivity to bread-and-butter issues — if only our parties had the ingenuity to produce them.

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Nats v Libs in battle for the chair-sniffer’s seat

The Labor Party is uncompetitive in the south-western WA seat of Vasse, but the Nationals and Liberals are giving it all they’ve got.

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Poll Bludger: Abbott’s ‘shirt-fronting’ machismo pleases men and women

Tony Abbott’s personal approval ratings have been enjoying a boost ever since international conflicts distracted from domestic issues. Interestingly, both men and women have bought the tough-guy shtick.

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Poll Bludger: SA byelection will define balance of power

The unfortunate death of South Australian state independent Bob Such has triggered a byelection in the seat of Fisher. This presents a make-or-break opportunity for the SA Liberals.

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