tip off

Articles by William Bowe

Palmer, Greens win the West — now Abbott must play ball

The major parties had an unprecedented 58% of the vote in a clear sign voters are looking for alternatives. The Greens, who outspent Labor and the Coalition, were big winners, as was Palmer United.

READ MORE

Palmer, Ludlam … and pot? Who can win the Senate in the wild west

The recall Western Australian Senate election is effectively a race for three seats — and Clive Palmer will probably decide it one way or another. Crikey’s polling analyst previews the race.

READ MORE

An SA gerrymander? Libs, short of government, test the boundaries

The Liberal Party won more support than Labor in South Australia, but it’s still short of government. Does the system need fixing? Our electoral analyst considers the possibilities.

READ MORE

State polls: two new Liberal-led governments likely, one certain

Liberal oppositions are in the box seat to win government in state elections in Tasmania and South Australia tomorrow. But one of the races could be closer than many think.

READ MORE

Libs likely the losers as WA heads to the polls … again

Western Australians get another crack at the Senate election, and their dissatisfaction with the Abbott government is likely to translate into a win for the Left. But will it matter for the Abbott government?

READ MORE

Why the ‘wrong’ party could win SA’s state election

South Australia has tried to ensure its electoral boundaries are fair to ensure the majority party wins government. But it does not always work out that way.

READ MORE

Tasmanian election: Lara is toast, but what about Clive?

The Tasmanian Liberals look set to win the state government at the March poll — but could Clive Palmer’s party cause an upset? Crikey’s polling analyst crunches the numbers.

READ MORE

Poll Bludger: Griffith, state polls to test Abbott government mettle

Three state elections and some important byelections are likely to test voters’ loyalty to the newly minted Abbott government. Crikey’s resident polling analyst previews the electoral year.

READ MORE

Broken electoral system, not 1370 votes, to blame for WA mess

An inquiry into how the AEC managed to lose critical votes has laid the blame squarely at the feet of the Electoral Commissioner. But there is plenty to go around.

READ MORE

The verdict is in on pollsters: Coalition bias, electorate polls fail

The final results are in on the 2013 federal election — so which pollster was closest to the mark? Our crack analyst crunches the numbers to produce some surprising results.

READ MORE

Welcome to Australia in 2014, an all-Coalition country

It’s likely that the Coalition will hold a near-clean sweep of state governments next year. Crikey hits the archives to ask if this will pose a problem for Tony Abbott.

READ MORE

With Rudd gone, what now for Griffith?

Kevin Rudd’s announcement that he will resign from Parliament at the end of the week provides the occasion for a) renewed debate about his political legacy, which I will leave to others to pursue (in some cases for the rest of your lives), and b) the breaking of the longest federal byelection drought since 1951. […]

READ MORE

How Julian Assange could become a WA senator

The High Court is almost certainly going to call for a fresh election in WA. That means a fresh set of candidates — and Julian Assange could have another tilt at the Senate.

READ MORE

Sorry, WA, you’re going back to the polls (don’t blame the AEC)

There may be just one or two votes between two of the minor parties in the Western Australian Senate election, so voters will be heading back to the polls. But that doesn’t mean the system is broken.

READ MORE

How to avoid a fresh WA Senate election

With 1375 votes missing, will Western Australians be forced back to the polls over the disputed Senate result? The courts will decide, but our resident psephologist says it could be avoided.

READ MORE

A NSW byelection shock, and Labor grinds into gear

There’s life in the old (Labor) dog yet. The NSW ALP romped home in a byelection on Saturday, with a 26% swing. Is this the first sign of recovery — or a false dawn?

READ MORE

Sex v Sport: Senate counting inches closer to a result

The picture in the Australian Senate is becoming a little clearer, with more seemingly insignificant candidates are excluded from the count.

READ MORE

Reforming the Senate: which model would work best?

The calls for reform in electing senators have grown louder after the weekend result. But what’s the best model to fix it? Crikey’s poll-cruncher examines the options.

READ MORE

Lazy voters + broken system = sport, motoring lobbies in Senate

Almost a quarter of Australians voted for small parties in the Senate this time around, and the bizarre flow of preferences has elected very strange micro-parties. Here’s the state of play.

READ MORE

Poll Bludger: what role the minor parties could play tomorrow

Plenty of people have dismissed the Palmer United Party as a rich man’s ego trip, but its potential for disruption shouldn’t be underestimated.

READ MORE

Senate guide: Tasmania takes a step to the Right

Given the Senate’s logic of providing equal representation to each state regardless of population, Tasmania is the state whose voters have the greatest bearing on its make-up, the ratio of senators to population being about 1:43,000, compared with roughly 1: 600,000 in New South Wales. Its effect over the past two election has been to […]

READ MORE

Poll Bludger: watch for WikiLeaks-led leakage in the Senate

Group voting tickets for the Senate have been published, revealing some odd bedfellows when it comes to preferences. The deals could swing the upper house to the Right under a Tony Abbott government.

READ MORE

BludgerTrack: the post-sugar hit crash for Labor

It’s clear that the evenly matched polling that followed the return of Kevin Rudd, which was starting to look alarmingly sticky from a Coalition perspective, has unpeeled over the past fortnight. Close observation suggests this has not entirely been a phenomenon of the election campaign, as the Coalition had already pulled ahead over the weekend […]

READ MORE

Poll Bludger’s election guide: the seats that will decide the election

Labor still faces its Everest to win enough seats to hold government. Crikey’s elections guru crunches the numbers for both sides to reveal the key seats required for victory.

READ MORE

Poll Bludger’s seat of the week: Lib marginals Dunkley, Macquarie

Another double header in our ongoing scramble to cover potential Coalition-held seats of interest … Dunkley (Liberal 1.1%) Dunkley covers an area of bayside Melbourne about 40 kilometres from the city centre and has been effectively unchanged by redistribution. It consists of two distinct electoral parts, with Labor-leaning Frankston and its northern coastal neighbour Seaford […]

READ MORE

Womens Agenda

loading...

Smart Company

loading...

StartupSmart

loading...

Property Observer

loading...