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Articles by William Bowe

Will anyone miss Nielsen polling?

As the last ever Nielsen poll is published, the Coalition may be hoping for too much if they’re expecting an opinion poll bounce in the wake of Abbott’s handling of MH17.

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Labor takes a hard look at its union dominance

Senator John Faulkner’s proposed reform for state conference to surrender upper house voting power to the party membership does not look promising.

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Poll Bludger: alarm bells for Campbell Newman after Stafford drubbing

The Labor Party’s Stafford byelection win threatens the security of Newman’s nearby Ashgrove seat, where his 5.7% margin is looking distinctly fragile.

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Poll Bludger: Palmer riding high as Abbott continues to dive

Latest polls show Labor well ahead while growing support emerges for Palmer United.

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Stafford byelection could be a preview of Newman’s undoing

Byelections are rarely happy occasions for governments, but the electoral test that faces Campbell Newman on Saturday is a gloomier prospect than most.

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Poll Bludger: Greens riding high in WA

Labor is comfortably ahead on a two-party preferred basis, and the latest Newspoll results show support for minor parties blossoming in Western Australia.

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What’s the AEC got to hide?

Questions are being asked about the transparency of the Australian Electoral Commission, with the AEC refusing to open its vote-counting software to public scrutiny. Does the AEC have a reason to be so secretive?

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Labor’s lead stretches to 53-47 as budget gloom lingers

It looked for a while like the Coalition’s numbers were going to turn around, but this week’s BludgerTrack shows Labor still ahead.

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Tassie may hold the govt to ransom on the RET

Tasmania punches well above its weight in terms of political influence — and the state’s aluminium smelting industry is not happy with keeping the Renewable Energy Target.

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Voter ID laws will fix what ain’t broke

Australia’s first voter ID laws will be put to the test next month in a Queensland byelection. The public is increasingly worried about lax identification requirements at polling booths — but with very little voter fraud, are increased measures necessary?

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Poll Bludger: meet the senators who hold the balance of power

Tony Abbott will have to woo the Palmer United senators and a few more to get any of his legislation passed. Let’s look at the new senators who will be standing in the way of an Abbott agenda.

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With fancy footwork, Napthine buys time

Victoria is less likely to be heading to an early election, with the Napthine government skillfully heading off Labor’s plan to oust independent MP Geoff Shaw.

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Common sense prevails in Senate preferential voting changes

After the debacle of the Senate election last year, Parliament is looking at changing the way Australians vote. And for once, the changes actually make a good deal of sense.

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Yes, ministers push for minor party preference reform

The major parties are reportedly considering an interesting new approach to Senate electoral reform: denying you your right to have your preferences distributed if you haven’t chosen the right party.

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Palmer, Greens win the West — now Abbott must play ball

The major parties had an unprecedented 58% of the vote in a clear sign voters are looking for alternatives. The Greens, who outspent Labor and the Coalition, were big winners, as was Palmer United.

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Palmer, Ludlam … and pot? Who can win the Senate in the wild west

The recall Western Australian Senate election is effectively a race for three seats — and Clive Palmer will probably decide it one way or another. Crikey’s polling analyst previews the race.

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An SA gerrymander? Libs, short of government, test the boundaries

The Liberal Party won more support than Labor in South Australia, but it’s still short of government. Does the system need fixing? Our electoral analyst considers the possibilities.

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State polls: two new Liberal-led governments likely, one certain

Liberal oppositions are in the box seat to win government in state elections in Tasmania and South Australia tomorrow. But one of the races could be closer than many think.

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Libs likely the losers as WA heads to the polls … again

Western Australians get another crack at the Senate election, and their dissatisfaction with the Abbott government is likely to translate into a win for the Left. But will it matter for the Abbott government?

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Why the ‘wrong’ party could win SA’s state election

South Australia has tried to ensure its electoral boundaries are fair to ensure the majority party wins government. But it does not always work out that way.

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Tasmanian election: Lara is toast, but what about Clive?

The Tasmanian Liberals look set to win the state government at the March poll — but could Clive Palmer’s party cause an upset? Crikey’s polling analyst crunches the numbers.

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Poll Bludger: Griffith, state polls to test Abbott government mettle

Three state elections and some important byelections are likely to test voters’ loyalty to the newly minted Abbott government. Crikey’s resident polling analyst previews the electoral year.

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Broken electoral system, not 1370 votes, to blame for WA mess

An inquiry into how the AEC managed to lose critical votes has laid the blame squarely at the feet of the Electoral Commissioner. But there is plenty to go around.

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The verdict is in on pollsters: Coalition bias, electorate polls fail

The final results are in on the 2013 federal election — so which pollster was closest to the mark? Our crack analyst crunches the numbers to produce some surprising results.

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Welcome to Australia in 2014, an all-Coalition country

It’s likely that the Coalition will hold a near-clean sweep of state governments next year. Crikey hits the archives to ask if this will pose a problem for Tony Abbott.

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Womens Agenda

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