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Articles by William Bowe

Poll Bludger: how Palmer rose, then fell, then fell some more

How did Clive Palmer go from lovable upstart to a prince without subjects?

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Poll Bludger: Turnbull’s thumping lead puts Labor MPs on endangered species list

If the current polling bears out on election day, federal Labor MPs will undergo a dramatic culling sometime from this September.

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Liberal factional bloodletting will test Turnbull’s diplomacy

The knives are out in the Liberal Party as factional struggles threaten to unseat several prominent conservative members. And that could spell trouble for Turnbull.

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Poll Bludger: WA Libs out of money, out of votes

Labor has opened up a convincing lead in Western Australia’s polling.

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Poll Bludger: and the next federal election will be held on …

Myriad factors influence when Malcolm Turnbull will decide the date for the next election.

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Golden Dawn Down Under: Turnbull-haters plant seeds of a far-right crusade

Will the moderate Malcolm Turnbull incense the far right enough such that they formalise a successful far-right political party?

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Poll Bludger: could Turnbull-haters revive the irrelevant Nats?

Ian Macfarlane was the first to go, but will he be the last?

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Poll Bludger: a tale of two byelections (and is Turnbull in trouble?)

Micro-parties are going to be a macro thorn in Turnbull’s side at next year’s election, if the North Sydney byelection is anything to go by.

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Poll Bludger: Turnbull honeymoon could stretch into a diamond anniversary

Malcolm Turnbull’s poll numbers are exceedingly good — and the honeymoon seems to show no sign of cooling.

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Poll Bludger: battle of Wills

Gentrification has proved a powerful vote-shifter in Melbourne’s inner north.

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Poll Bludger: Bob Katter wants Qld to add five new seats to parliament

What will the High Court — not to mention voters — make of Bob Katter’s plan to increase the size of Queensland Parliament.

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Poll Bludger: who will replace Joe Hockey in North Sydney?

Meet the candidates.

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Poll Bludger: are the Greens gunning for Albo and Plibersek?

Analysis suggests the Greens are within striking distance of two inner-Sydney seats. But do they have the stomach to do it on Liberal preferences?

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Poll Bludger: unions clash over Labor preselection in WA

The factional landscape inside Labor’s WA branch has been disturbed in recent years, and things are now coming to a head.

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Liberal Democrats? Labour Coalition? Skirting the rules of the party name game

Issues surrounding party names have been smouldering for some time, and they are about to reach a head with the proposed new Labour Coalition political party.

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Cabinet spots a poisoned chalice for the Greens

Richard Di Natale says he’d be happy to form a coalition government with Labor, with cabinet positions for some Greens. But he should be careful what he wishes for …

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Poll Bludger: Bowen, Fitzgibbon on thin ice with redistribution

Is Chris Bowen about to lose his seat?

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Poll Bludger: Liberal lords defend their fiefdoms, crush preselection reform

Grand visions of reform had been proposed to address a perceived crisis of democratic legitimacy in modern party politics. But the powerful like their fiefdoms.

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Poll Bludger: Leyonhjelm and Xenophon take on the Senate

David Leyonhjelm and Nick Xenophon want very different things out of Senate reform.

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Poll Bludger: older Greens seduced by the silver fox

The polls suggest a 7% increase in the Coalition primary vote has taken an even bigger bite out of the Greens than Labor.

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Should Turnbull fear a Bernardi party?

There have long been suggestions that Cory Bernardi might defect to Family First, but might he start a completely new party by cleaving off the Coalition’s hard-right conservatives?

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Do we need Senate electoral reform?

Why is our Senate electoral system so complicated? And is there anything we can do to stop micro-parties gaming the system?

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Poll Bludger: minor parties cop a Canning

The Greens and minor parties were the real losers at the Canning byelection, which sent Andrew Hastie to Canberra.

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Poll Bludger: no matter who wins, both sides will claim Canning as a victory

The prime ministership of Malcolm Turnbull could be a boost for the Liberals in Canning. But Canning was never a good litmus test for the government.

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Poll Bludger: will there even be a Canning byelection?

Canning is being seen as a referendum on Tony Abbott — that is if the PM does not rush to a double dissolution election.

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