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Articles by William Bowe

Poll Bludger: when will Abbott call the next election?

You would typically be putting red circles around the last three Saturdays in October, but there’s a particular problem for Abbott with going to the polls that early.

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Poll Bludger: should federal govts serve fixed four-year terms?

Fixed terms will inevitably weaken the position of the Senate, officially making it a partisan rubber-stamp body for the lower house.

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Poll Bludger: is there something deeper going on in NT gerrymander?

The problem of electoral boundaries, and its potential solution.

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Poll Bludger: Abbott versus wind farms and the RET

If Abbott wants to wedge Labor, attacking the environment might be the safest option.

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Poll Bludger: voters warm to Abbott — except not really

Voter perception of Abbott has generally improved since the failed spill motion earlier this year. But that’s not say that voters actually like Abbott, per se …

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Poll Bludger: should preselection be done by the rank and file?

Both parties are talking about allowing the rank and file to have their say, rather than stater powerbrokers. Is this the way forward?

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Poll Bludger: why Baird hit pay dirt, and Newman hit plain dirt

A new report sheds light on the tale of two very different elections. One, a Coalition triumph. The other … not so much.

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Poll Bludger: how the pink vote changes politics

Lesbian couples appear to drive significant increases in the Labor and Greens vote, but gay men are not uniformly left-wing.

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Honeymoon’s over for Qld Labor as polls return startlingly different results

Are the voters of Queensland happy with the new Queensland government? It’s very hard to say.

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Poll Bludger: about that post-budget poll bounce …

We should not rush to put too much stock in a single poll that shows the Prime Minister is on the way up.

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Poll Bludger: are we headed for a double dissolution?

Tony Abbott is still insisting the election will be held next year. But does his most recent budget say otherwise?

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Poll Bludger: UK sticks with same old Tory, a good sign for Abbott

The UK Conservatives’ unexpected win has left pollsters scrambling for answers, and left fellow conservative Tony Abbott with a renewed sense of confidence.

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Poll Bludger: desperate, Shorten actually announces a real policy

Bill Shorten’s approval ratings have remained very constant, with 40% approval and 40% disapproval. That can mean either a polarising leader or an excruciatingly dull one. No points for guessing which in this case.

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Poll Bludger: Newspoll’s star winks out, leaving a lonely Galaxy

So much for the “gold standard” of Australian polling — Newspoll will be wound up as an organisation and will exist only as a brand in The Australian.

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Poll Bludger: not easy being Green, but party’s over for Democrats

The Democrats’ status as protest party made it hostage to political circumstances and victim to potent competitors.

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Poll Bludger: Liberal win more than some can Baird

The Premier’s re-election victory has given the Liberal Party a much-needed shot in the arm.

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Sorry, AEC truthers, electoral conspiracy theories don’t hold water

So, why do the provide pencils instead of pens at voting booths, huh? What exactly are they hiding?

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Pyne’s sleepless nights ahead of 2016 election as Xenophon soars

Tony Abbott’s Coalition is losing footing in former Liberal strongholds. And the party’s stocks in South Australia just keep on sliding, posing serious problems for one colourful frontbencher.

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Poll Bludger: is Lambie the old adventures of new Pauline?

Jacqui Lambie wants to form her own political party. But will she be able to reach the heights of Pauline Hanson’s One Nation?

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A thorough drubbing or a remarkable swing for NSW Labor? Depends who you ask

Mike Baird has held onto power, but the real winners might actually be the Greens.

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Poll Bludger: Sydney Liberal holdouts could quash Labor’s dreams

While Labor will win back many seats lost in their 2011 landslide defeat, Premier Mike Baird’s Liberal Party will almost certainly retain government.

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Poll Bludger: ‘Mr Nice Guy’ Mike Baird propping up popularity of embattled PM

NSW Liberal Premier Mike Baird is seen by many as a down-to-earth everyman to the extent that, instead of Tony Abbott’s image dragging Baird down, Baird’s popularity is lifting Tony up.

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NSW voters hate Baird’s signature policy — but they hate Labor more

Mike Baird is in a bit of a pickle in NSW, with voters wanting to vote for him but not the privatisation of electricity infrastructure. It will take some tricky electoral wheeling and dealing to deliver voters a policy they hate.

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Poll Bludger: no time like the present to test electoral reforms

Are voter ID requirements the thin end of a conservative wedge? What should be the cap on political donations? The Poll Bludger investigates.

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Poll Bludger: Foley gains traction, but can he pull Labor over the line?

While it’s unlikely Luke Foley will lead Labor to victory in the NSW election on March 28, he will recover many of the seats the party lost after its devastating defeat in 2011.

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