The climate’s changing

In May last year Possum Comitatus featured the annual Lowy Poll. The poll set of global warming questions the Lowy Institute asked — and in some instances, has asked over several years — was most illuminating in terms of tracking public opinion on this issue over the past five years.

Lowy asked the following question four times in five years:

There is a controversy over what the countries of the world, including Australia, should do about the problem of global warming. I’m going to read you three statements. Please tell me which statement comes closest to your own point of view.

Take a look at how the opinion has shifted.

This graph dovetails nicely with today’s set of Essential questions.

In relation to the Opposition’s line on the government’s “backflip” on a promise Prime Minister Gillard made before the 2010 election not to introduce a carbon tax in the next term of parliament, respondents were given a set of statements and asked which was closest to their view.

Fifty nine per cent of respondents picked this line:

The Prime Minister has broken an election promise and should wait until after the next election before introducing a carbon pollution tax.

The climate’s changing rapidly. And we’re not talking about cO2 levels.


13 Comments

  1. Ben Carew
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 2:00 pm | Permalink

    This is so depressing and totally the opposite of what the latest (2010) science is telling us, again and again.

    Enlightenment in reverse.

  2. Mike Seabrook
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 2:24 pm | Permalink

    wonder what the polling was in tasmania ( would benefit on balance with a bit of warming) and conversely in north qld.

  3. michael crook
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 4:23 pm | Permalink

    The power of the press and the gutlessness of the ALP, and the ABC. Well done Rupert, well done coal billionaires, well done, I am sure that your money will protect you from the consequences of your actions, not so sure about my grandchildren though.

  4. Lorry
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 5:21 pm | Permalink

    Michael - I think you have been sniffing too many carbon emissions.

    Even if you assume everything that the church of global warming is preaching is true, removal of total carbon emissions from Australia would have no measurable effect on global Co2 levels.

    Your religious beliefs will make no difference to your grandchildren… unless you reduce their inheritenace by donating to j-U-LIAR’s carbon tax.

  5. Barbara Boyle
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 5:24 pm | Permalink

    I’m alright Jack and the grand children can take care of all our stuff ups, eh?
    They are probably much smarter than their elders,and that’s not too hard.

  6. Fitz
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 7:39 pm | Permalink

    So “the climate is changing rapidly”. Can you offer something better than the ipse dixit of second or third hand authority for offering such opinions, or can you justify it by some careful reasoning and statement of unassailable facts? Presumably you have no scientific qualifications???

    Changing rapidly: compared to what and when? The flood in Brisbane in 1893 perhaps? The last few hundred years of Indian famines? Maybe you are harking back to those days in the 50s when many simple people blamed the nuclear tests for everything they didn’t like about the climate or weather. Does the Great Pacific Climate Shift of the late 70s count as a period of rapidly changing climate? If so how does it compare with the present?

    It is hard enough to get anyone to take Crikey seriously. Why make it worse with pious cr*p?

  7. MLF
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 9:35 pm | Permalink

    Fitz - they meant the political/social climate. Play on words… you know?

  8. Fitz
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 9:50 pm | Permalink

    @ MLF

    You’re right - at least I think so. I read it first as saying “we, Australians are not even talking about CO2 levels when despite the fact that the climate is changing rapidly”. I wasn’t pointed in the alternative direction when I saw the heading “Crikey says: the climate’s changing” which, anyway, fitted my preconception of Crikey journalists’ views.

    So, I concede a nice element of elegance in the Crikey ed.

  9. MLF
    Posted Monday, 7 March 2011 at 11:42 pm | Permalink

    Joe Hockey, Q&A, just said Labor and Coalition have agreement on human impact on climate change and on a 5% reduction by 2020 target, what they don’t agree on is the tax. He said Copenhagen changed everything. It’s refreshing to hear Coalition discussing climate change at all.

    Kate Ellis then piped up and started name calling. Right before she blasted Hockey for the party dumping Turnbull over climate change. Pot, kettle, anyone? Very ineffective.

    And, is it just me or do ALL Labor MPs now talk like Julia Gillard? I mean, is she giving lessons or something? Swan, Ellis, Shorten. Close your eyes and listen. Its her.

  10. Frank Campbell
    Posted Tuesday, 8 March 2011 at 1:28 pm | Permalink

    The climate’s changing rapidly. And we’re not talking about cO2 levels.”

    Oh yes we are.

    How often do I have to say it? Climate millenarianism has been declining for 5 years, as your own graph shows.

    This is now having political consequences.

    Progressive politics are being sacrificed on the altar of the climate cult.

    Crikey is assisting. Authoritarian, anti-intellectual, repressive. And self-defeating.

  11. Ken Wood
    Posted Wednesday, 9 March 2011 at 4:29 pm | Permalink

    OK I’ve read Frank’s comment three times and still don’t understand it. Maybe I shouldn’t believe in climate change.

    There are two groups here: 90% of smart people believe in climate change but 100% of not-so-smart people don’t.

  12. Dream Brother
    Posted Thursday, 10 March 2011 at 11:49 am | Permalink

    @ Fitz - typical of the ignorant - read the headline and not the article - and allow that to “inform” your opinion.
    Sadly too many people only read headlines and listen to soundbites, rather than learning to real facts of issues.

  13. Fitz
    Posted Thursday, 10 March 2011 at 4:10 pm | Permalink

    @ Dream Brother

    To capture your highly imitable style: Typical of the ill-educated of meagre intelligence, say with a pass Arts degree but very satisfied to blow hard in the company they keep - not read what you are commenting on at all, or if read, not understood, or worse, wilfully mispresented.

    As I made clear I had read the article, the whole point being whether I had misinterpreted the last paragraph as I probably did, and quickly admitted.

    So, where’s your acknowledgement of error? And what’s your excuse?