The inside scoop on Paul the clairvoyant calamari

On Monday morning the Netherlands will play Spain in the final of the 2010 World Cup in South Africa. As expected there is much anticipation surrounding this game as both nations have never been crowned champions despite both having a wonderful history in the game. But often World Cups produce “sideshows” to the biggest event in world sport, and this time around it’s no different.

Every football fan, and perhaps many non football fans, would be now aware of the celebrity achieved by Paul the Octopus.

Paul is a common octopus who was born in England and now resides at Sea Life Oberhausen in the German town of the same name. His fame has been acquired because he has been touted as somewhat of an oracle, a clairvoyant calamari, who has predicted correctly 11 of the last 12 games played by Germany which includes all their World Cup matches and in Euro 2008 before that.

100709_paul

But this morning Crikey received an anonymous tip about Paul. How is it, asked our tipster, that a humble cephalopod can somehow predict, terrifyingly accurately, the outcome of games played on another continent?

Let’s have a look at who Germany has beaten (Paul predicted all of these correctly):

  • Poland (June  8 2008) (red and white)
  • Austria (June  16 2008) (red and white)
  • Portugal (June  19 2008) (red and green)
  • Turkey (June  25 2008) (red and white)
  • Australia (June 18 2010) (mostly navy blue)
  • Ghana (June 23 2010) (red, green, yellow)
  • England (June 27 2010) (red and white)
  • Argentina (July 3 2010) (blue and white)

And now look at who Germany has lost to (Paul predicted all of these correctly except for the Euro 2008 final between Spain and Germany where he incorrectly picked Germany. Your bad, Paul):

  • Croatia (June 12 2008) (red, white and blue horizontal stripes)
  • Spain (June 29 2008) (red and yellow) — this was Paul’s only blunder
  • Serbia (June 18 2010) (red, white and blue horizontal stripes)
  • Spain (July 7 2010) (red and yellow)

It appears, pointed out our Deep Throat, that Paul has a disposition towards certain colours.

Red, white and blue together are Paul’s favourite (hence Serbia and Croatia), red and yellow are his second favourites (it’s why he struggles with Germany and Spain) and he least likes red and white together (Austria, Poland, England etc).

Why?

According to Assistant Curator Alison Edmunds, the giant pacific octopuses at the Melbourne Aquarium are “very tactile, they can change to a lot of colours. They like reds, blacks, greys and whites.”

Edmunds said that the Melbourne Aquarium’s octopi like playing with toys and are particularly attracted to shiny objects and are “very curious animals.”

But that doesn’t scientifically explain (Common Octopus) Paul’s selections, and research on the subject appears limited. Crikey contacted many leading Australian aquariums, several marine science faculties of major universities and a few zoos in an effort to talk to an octopus expert. Our leads directed us to Research Scientist Mark Norman of the Melbourne Museum, but he was unable to get back to us before deadline.

However, according to How Stuff Works.com , Octopi have “acute vision and can detect colors. Like the human eye, the octopus eye consists of a lens, two fluid-filled chambers, and a light-sensitive retina.” And according to a 1997 New Scientist article, tests were conducted in which an octopus “in a research laboratory in Naples learnt to choose a red ball instead of a white one by watching another octopus.”

So based on our extensive research into Octopi and their penchant for colour, what will Paul choose in Monday morning’s game between Spain and the Netherlands?

Going on the psychic sea creature’s past choices Paul should predict a Dutch victory as he will most likely appreciate that country’s flag (red, white and blue horizontal stripes) over Spain’s.

1007089_netherlands

1007089_spain

So, if Paul is to be believed, then then come Monday the Netherlands will have won their first ever World Cup.


23 Comments

  1. Pete from Sydney
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 1:49 pm | Permalink

    ground breaking stuff, and you’re worried about the ‘tabloids’ talking about Danii’s baby?

    No wonder you need readers to send in more stories, if this is the best you can produce

  2. Graham Cairns
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 2:31 pm | Permalink

    Oh, get a life, Paul - this story was a hoot!

    As the article says, “often World Cups produce “sideshows” to the biggest event in world sport, and this time around it’s no different.”

    The beauty of an ezine like Crikey is that is isn’t limited by space … so it can cover the stories of import and still have room for fluff, too!

  3. Mr Squid
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 2:36 pm | Permalink

    that’d be octopuses (Mr Squid he spikka da octopussy as well) or octopodes if you want to be an eight-appendaged wanka.

    This yarn is a wonderful break from the usual banalities that the meeja foist on us.

  4. Mr Squid
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 2:37 pm | Permalink

    oh, and he ain’ta da calamari ( i spikka dat wan too).

  5. SusieQ
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 2:44 pm | Permalink

    Very funny stuff and as for Pete from Sydney- lighten up! You Sydney people take yourselves so seriously!
    (thinking I might see what Paul the Octo picks then put a fiver on it!)

  6. SBH
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 2:52 pm | Permalink

    Octopodes’ old chap. Rare,arcane but correct.

    Also why not ‘mentat mollusc’ ‘psychic cephalapod’ ‘omniscient octo’ or for those who like spanish style ‘prescient pulpo’ rather than the faltly wrong calamari reference

    I understand that after the world cup gig, Paul has been offered a front bench position with the ALP based on his predictive capacity, lack of rigid internal structure and his talent for wriggling into and out of tight spots.

  7. Greig White
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 3:45 pm | Permalink

    Nice hypothesis, however your extensive research doesn’t seem to extend as far as Wikipedia, which reveals that the Common Octopus Octopus Vulgaris does not have colour vision.

  8. shitesherlock
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 4:34 pm | Permalink

    I love this kind of stuff from crikey! They always seem to find some new angle to stories which are overlooked by msm. And Paul the Octupos beats Danii’s whatsits anyday!

  9. Nadia David
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 4:39 pm | Permalink

    Still doesn’t explain why the mental molusc got it RIGHT 91.6% of the time….go Paul! Better than your usual shonky psychic, eh?

  10. scott73
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 4:58 pm | Permalink

    You still have failed to explain why or how those colours happen to be the winner when Paul picked them.

  11. zut alors
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 5:18 pm | Permalink

    Ok, according to Wikipedia Paul can’t see colours. Is he any good with Lotto numbers?

  12. thomasluiss
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 8:38 pm | Permalink

    Is this paul color blind…? I mean I don’t believe in this octopus’s predictions. His prediction of the winner is nothing but just a pure guess.
    Lovefilm UK

  13. Richard Farmer
    Posted Friday, 9 July 2010 at 9:43 pm | Permalink

    Stick to the Aussie rules and don’t allow your red, blue and white prejudice to jaundice the views of a sensible octopus that has in fact gone for Spain!

  14. rgo
    Posted Saturday, 10 July 2010 at 11:13 am | Permalink

    Paul can recognise the flags and associate them to the country names. He doesn’t like countries that start with vowels, and the letters P, T, G.

    He is partial to S, and C probably has the kind of curve that reminds him of S. He’s an octopus, afer all, and therefore fallible.

    But overall, Paul is very, very smart indeed.

  15. rgo
    Posted Saturday, 10 July 2010 at 11:16 am | Permalink

    Even though Paul is originally English, he now lives in Germany. So he speaks German, and therefore would identify “G”ermany as “D”eutschland. So, possibly, he likes the letter D a lot, but not at the expense of S. Again, the curve in D is reminiscent of C or S.

  16. Brizben
    Posted Saturday, 10 July 2010 at 12:00 pm | Permalink

    Or maybe they are getting their tips from a local sports writer and smearing a little fish sauce onto the pilchard in the box they want the octopus to go towards. Those fat fkn dolphins at Sea World do not perform back flips for free.

  17. Angra
    Posted Saturday, 10 July 2010 at 2:41 pm | Permalink

    Well PETA are now on the case, so we can all rest easy.

    PETA Spokesman Bruce Friedrich says the group is urging people to sign an online petition demanding Paul’s release.

    No animal deserves to be confined to a tiny tank and we’re hoping that Paul’s popularity, or in Germany notoriety, will cause people to think a little bit more about the inner lives of octopusses,” he said.

  18. monkeywrench
    Posted Saturday, 10 July 2010 at 5:14 pm | Permalink

    Paul has picked Spain, which shoots that theory out of the water….erm….so to speak.

  19. arthurneddysmith
    Posted Sunday, 11 July 2010 at 2:24 am | Permalink

    I have a feeling that the explanation is much more simpler than the one offered above. In every picture that I have seen of Paul choosing, he is always doing the same thing: He’s sitting on top of the box on the right. Never the left, just the right.

    With 91.6% accuracy, someone is very good predictor. They’re just not an octopus.

  20. EngineeringReality
    Posted Monday, 12 July 2010 at 1:30 pm | Permalink

    @Zut Alors “Ok, according to Wikipedia Paul can’t see colours.”

    Well thats obviously dead wrong - because Octopi can change to camouflague almost perfectly with the colours of its surroundings.

    Another reason wikipedia has to be taken with a (large) grain of salt…

  21. zut alors
    Posted Monday, 12 July 2010 at 1:45 pm | Permalink

    @ Engineeringreality,

    wikipedia has to be taken with a (large) grain of salt…”

    Coincidentally, that’s exactly how I take octopus. Yum.

  22. Jim
    Posted Monday, 12 July 2010 at 1:53 pm | Permalink

    Paul the Octopus confined to a seafood salad….

  23. Hobes
    Posted Tuesday, 13 July 2010 at 6:12 pm | Permalink

    Funny how a marine researcher says octopuses are colour blind.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/07/12/2951339.htm