Morning Market Report
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The market is up 131. It was up 161 on the open. Flying on the back of Wall St and the FOMC decision to cut rates 50bp. The SFE Futures suggested a 140 point rise in the market this morning. The Dow Jones was up 335 overnight – It moved in a 336 point range and finished nearly 2.5% higher after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a larger-than-expected 50bp. After keeping rates unchanged for more than a year, the Fed helped the Dow index record its biggest one day gain in nearly five years after announcing they would cut the benchmark lending rate to 4.75% from 5.25%. First cut since 2003. In their accompanying statement, the Federal Reserve said “inflation risks remain” and that they will continue to monitor developments, but their main concern has now switched to the health of financial markets and the availability of liquidity. Investment banks went gangbusters, Lehman Brothers closed up 10% despite announcing a 3.2% fall in 3Q earnings on write-downs of mortgage securities, Goldman Sachs put on 7%, Morgan Stanley 5.5% and Merrill Lynch finished 4.1% higher ahead of their results. The S&P 500 closed up nearly 3%. Four hundred and ninety stocks in the index closed in positive territory, the broadest gain in 11 years and the NASDAQ also had a good session and put on 2.6%. Resources doing well today (Resources up 3.2% versus Industrials up 1.7%)…BHP up 143c or 3.7% to 4008c – hit a new all time high of 4024c - and RIO up 294c or 3% to 10045c. Metals all up overnight. Nickel up a big 5.7%, Zinc up 2.1% and Copper 1.1%. Aluminium up 0.5%. Zinifex up 47c to 1641c. Oil price up 96c to $81.51 and closed in record territory after of the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and eased concerns about a slowdown in the global economy. A government report tomorrow is also expected to show a fall US crude oil supplies for the 10th time in 11 weeks. Woodside up 125c to 4710c. Gold down 10c but touched an intra-day high of $US726.95. Newcrest up 95c to 2725c. The stock is up 20% in the last week. Goldman Sachs JB Were have upgraded their oil price forecasts with related earnings increases for companies affected. They prefer Woodside (target price 5150c) and AWE (target price 400c). Their preference for BHP over RIO is reinforced by the change in oil price assumptions. BHP target price 4423c. RIO target price 10814c.
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