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If – if – today’s Newspoll result was repeated at the election, if the Coalition won 41 per cent of the polity-wide two-party preferred vote, they would suffer a uniform swing against them of 11.74 percentage points.
We did a death list on the Galaxy figures last week. This week’s is longer.
Not only are Malcolm Turnbull and Peter Costello goners on it, but Joe Hockey loses North Sydney, too – and Tony Abbott Warringah. Andrew Robb would also be done for.
Would the Liberal rump be so shattered that they’d elected that unequalled political prostitute Dr Brendan as their leader? Unlikely. Alexander Downer’s second coming fantasies could come true.
Here’s the casualty list:
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Bass
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Tasmania
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Michael Ferguson
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Bennelong
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NSW
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John Howard
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Blair
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Queensland
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Cameron Thompson
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Bonner
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Queensland
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Ross Vasta
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Boothby
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SA
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Andrew Southcott
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Bowman
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Queensland
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Andrew Laming
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Braddon
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Tasmania
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Mark Baker
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Calare
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NSW
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John Cobb
(notionally National after the redistribution)
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Canning
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WA
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Don Randall
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Casey
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Victoria
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Tony Smith
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Corangamite
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Victoria
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Stewart McArthur
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Cowper
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NSW
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Luke Hartsuyker
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Dawson
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Queensland
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De-Anne Kelly
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Deakin
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Victoria
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Phil Barresi
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Dickson
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Queensland
|
Peter Dutton
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Dobell
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NSW
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Ken Ticehurst
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Dunkley
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Victoria
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Bruce Billson
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Eden-Monaro
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NSW
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Gary Nairn
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Fisher
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Queensland
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Peter Slipper
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Flinders
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Victoria
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Greg Hunt
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Flynn
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Queensland
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New notionally
National seat
|
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Forde
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Queensland
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Kay Elson
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Forrest
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WA
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No seat for Nola Marino
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Gilmore
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NSW
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Jo Gash
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Gippsland
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Victoria
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Peter McGauran
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Goldstein
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Victoria
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Andrew Robb
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Greenway
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NSW
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Louise Markus
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Hasluck
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WA
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Stuart Henry
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Herbert
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Queensland
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Peter Lindsay
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Higgins
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Victoria
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Peter Costello
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Hinkler
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Queensland
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Paul Neville
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Hughes
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NSW
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Dana Vale
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Kalgoorlie
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WA
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Barry Haase
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Kingston
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SA
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Kym Richardson
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Kooyong
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Victoria
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Petro Georgiou
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La Trobe
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Victoria
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Jason Wood
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Leichhardt
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Queensland
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No seat for Charlie McKillop
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Lindsay
|
NSW
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No seat for Karen Chijoff
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Longman
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Queensland
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Mal Brough
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Macarthur
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NSW
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Pat Farmer
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Makin
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SA
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No seat for Bob Day
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McEwen
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Victoria
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Fran Bailey
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McMillan
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Victoria
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Russell Broadbent
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Menzies
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Victoria
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Kevin Andrews
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Moore
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WA
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Mal Washer
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Moreton
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Queensland
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Gary Hardgrave
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North Sydney
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NSW
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Joe Hockey
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Page
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NSW
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Ian Causley
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Paterson
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NSW
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Bob Baldwin
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Petrie
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Queensland
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Teresa Gambaro
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Robertson
|
NSW
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Jim Lloyd
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Ryan
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Queensland
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Michael Johnson
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Solomon
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NT
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Dave Tollner
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Stirling
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WA
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Michael Keenan
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Sturt
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SA
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Christopher Pyne
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Wakefield
|
SA
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David Fawcett
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Warringah
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NSW
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Tony Abbott
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Wentworth
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NSW
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Malcolm Turnbull
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At the going down of the sun and the declaration of the poll we will remember them.
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